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24

ROIV

🏥 Healthcare

Roivant Sciences Ltd.

Conservative #1252Aggressive #1368Low RiskF↑ 40pt
$28.66+1.42%
Day High$29.20
Day Low$28.10
Volume4.9M
Mkt Cap$20.5B
52W Low $952W High $29
Market Cap
$19.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-11.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-104.0%
Profit Margin
-6079.9%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

ROIV scores 23.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (146%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -27.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ROIV would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.6
Fundamental Score53.7
ML Score2.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
3.4
6 Month
3.9
Primary
1 Year
4.0

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Anomalous margin data — extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 7 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
72
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
33.3
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
-1.3
Conviction
-4.8
Divergence
-5.5
Final
23.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)38.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)93.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-26.6% to -18.4%
Medium-term
-39.1% to -26.9%
Long-term
-51.5% to -35.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 2

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.2/100
Target Upside+13.6%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.5%
6M Momentum+1.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+24.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.83)
Relative Strength vs Sector+121.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.384
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
14%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P10
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P40
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 18th percentileP18
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (57.9) + 9% ML (17.4) + SHAP(+1.9) = 56.2—
Factor quality: -1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 12.1%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.3pt (146% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($19.4B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.8pt (conviction=0)—
Divergence penalty: -4.6pt (fund 40pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (-6079.9%) exceeds operating margin (-9130.5%) by 3051pp — likely one-time item; High accrual ratio (20.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #274 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ROIV23.6N/A-11.2%-6079.9%$19.4B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 1
Price Target
$31consensus
Low $30Median $31High $33
+9.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Roivant Sciences Ltd., a biopharmaceutical and healthcare technology company that researches and develops medicines. The company develops product candidates for the treatment of various therapeutics, including solid tumors, sickle cell diseases, hypophosphatasia, oncologic malignancies, psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, vitiligo, hyperhidrosis, acne, myasthenia gravis, warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia, thyroid eye diseases, sarcoidosis, and staph aureus bacteremia. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

CEO
Matthew Gline
Employees
908
Beta
1.23
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
81.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-1.8%
High: $29.2
From 52W Low
+228.3%
Low: $8.73
Moving Averages
10-Day
$27.40
Above
20-Day
$25.40
Above
50-Day
$23.60
Above
200-Day
$16.70
Above
60-Day Support
$19.96
60-Day Resistance
$29.2
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+71.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+29.21%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.76x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$2M$2M$2M$8M
Gross Profit$1M$1M$2M$7M
Operating Income$-339M$-306M$-285M$-285M
Net Income$-266M$-114M$-223M$-206M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.38$-0.17$-0.33$-0.29
Gross Margin65.0%92.9%92.9%97.3%
Operating Margin-16966.1%-19492.9%-13130.0%-3764.4%
Net Margin-13301.2%-7225.9%-10292.9%-2727.5%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 98/100Score impact: -14.6pt

Volume
100
7.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$199M/day
Float
100
496M shares
Mkt Cap
85
$19.4B
Range
100
220% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
69.3%
Outstanding Shares
716M
Bid-Ask Spread
220.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.