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44

RVMD

🏥 Healthcare

Revolution Medicines, Inc.

Conservative #742Aggressive #642Low RiskLow 27F↑ 37pt
$103.24-1.52%
Day High$107.45
Day Low$102.40
Volume2.3M
Mkt Cap$20.0B
52W Low $2952W High $124
Market Cap
$19.7B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-100.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-37.5%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.10

Why This Score

RVMD scores 43.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.10) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (136%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-9.7 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score43.8
Fundamental Score45.2
ML Score69.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
8.5
6 Month
9.5
Primary
1 Year
10.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
74
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
46.9
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-2.2
Divergence
-1.3
Final
43.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)91.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-28.2% to -16.2%
Medium-term
-37.8% to -21.8%
Long-term
-49.3% to -25.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 69

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+17.2%
Coverage20 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score74.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.4%
6M Momentum+1.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.89)
Relative Strength vs Sector+112.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.243
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P2
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P39
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 25th percentileP25
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (61.9) + 9% ML (23.7) + SHAP(+0.9) = 59.3—
Factor quality: -0.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 13.9%. Max drawdown 9% (-0.4 pts)Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -2.8pt (136% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($19.7B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.2pt (conviction=27)—
Divergence penalty: -4.0pt (fund 37pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (20.7%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #112 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RVMD43.8N/A-100.0%0.0%$19.7B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy20 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 18Hold: 1
Price Target
$120consensus
Low $73Median $140High $170
+16.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Revolution Medicines, Inc., a clinical-stage precision oncology company, focuses on developing therapies to inhibit frontier targets in RAS-addicted cancers. The company is developing RMC-4630, an inhibitor of SHP2, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of solid tumors, such as gynecologic and colorectal cancer tumors. It also develops RMC-5845, a selective inhibitor of SOS1, a protein that converts RAS (OFF) to RAS (ON) in cells; and RMC-5552, a hyperactivated selective inhibitor of mTORC1 signaling in tumors. In addition, the company is developing RMC-6291, a mutant-selective inhibitor of KRASG12C(ON) and NRASG12C(ON); and RMC-6236, a RAS-selective inhibitor of multiple RAS(ON) variants. Further, it develops RAS(ON) Inhibitors targeting KRASG13C(ON) and KRASG12D(ON). The company has a collaboration agreement with Sanofi for the research and development of SHP2 inhibitors, including RMC-4630. Revolution Medicines, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

CEO
Mark A. Goldsmith
Employees
616
Beta
1.00
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
66.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-17.1%
High: $124.49
From 52W Low
+253.9%
Low: $29.17
Moving Averages
10-Day
$100.80
Above
20-Day
$98.80
Above
50-Day
$96.80
Above
200-Day
$59.50
Above
60-Day Support
$73
60-Day Resistance
$124.49
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+73.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+38.78%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.5x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-25)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-315M$-265M$-241M$-216M
Net Income$-305M$-248M$-213M$-195M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.61$-1.31$-1.13$-1.13
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 98/100Score impact: -19.8pt

Volume
100
3.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$341M/day
Float
100
174M shares
Mkt Cap
85
$19.7B
Range
100
327% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$21.78$50.8880.1%Wide
2022$14.08$27.4964.5%Wide
2023$15.44$35.6079%Wide
2024$25.93$62.4082.6%Wide
2025$29.17$81.9795%Wide
3-Year Range
136.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
90.0%
Outstanding Shares
193M
Bid-Ask Spread
327.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.