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71

KRYS

🏥 Healthcare

Krystal Biotech, Inc.

Conservative #82Aggressive #14Moderate RiskHigh 81
$272.50+2.10%
Day High$274.58
Day Low$266.90
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$8.0B
52W Low $12352W High $298
Market Cap
$8.0B
P/E Ratio
41.4
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
473.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
715.6%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

KRYS scores 71.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 30.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (81/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.4x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (11.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.1 points) applied. KRYS's rank of #82 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score71.0
Fundamental Score66.0
ML Score82.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
54.9
6 Month
61.4
Primary
1 Year
64.6

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
73
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
67.2
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
+1.1
Divergence
-0.1
Final
71.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

74AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.3% to +2.8%
Medium-term
-1.3% to +5.0%
Long-term
-1.4% to +7.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 82

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+14.7%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score73.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-32.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.62)
Relative Strength vs Sector+29.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.6)
Momentum Quality+0.379
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P96
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P66
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 74 relative to sector peers74/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 64th percentileP64
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (74.0) + 9% ML (64.5) + SHAP(+2.4) = 75.5
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 11.9%. Max drawdown 30% (-8.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($8.0B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.3pt (conviction=81)
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #14 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
BMRN69.722.318.0%15.0%$11.5B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy17 analysts
Buy: 17
Price Target
$311consensus
Low $224Median $323High $371
+14.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Krystal Biotech, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the field of redosable gene therapy to treat serious rare diseases in the United States. Its lead product candidate is beremagene geperpavec (B-VEC), which is in Phase III clinical study to treat dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa. The company is also involved in developing KB105 that is in Phase I/II clinical study for treating patients with deficient autosomal recessive congenital ichthyosis; KB301, which is in Phase I/II clinical stage for treating wrinkles and other presentations of aged or damaged skin; KB407 that is in preclinical stage for cystic fibrosis; and KB104, which is in preclinical stage for netherton syndrome. Its discovery stage product candidates include KB5xx for treating chronic skin diseases, KB3xx to treat aesthetic skin conditions, and KB3xx product. Krystal Biotech, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Krish S. Krishnan
Employees
275
Beta
0.48
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
52.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.6%
High: $298.3
From 52W Low
+121.9%
Low: $122.8
Moving Averages
10-Day
$272.90
Below
20-Day
$273.80
Below
50-Day
$265.50
Above
200-Day
$189.00
Above
60-Day Support
$212.75
60-Day Resistance
$298.3
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+44.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+15.93%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.22x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$107M$98M$96M$88M
Gross Profit$96M$92M$89M$83M
Operating Income$44M$41M$39M$36M
Net Income$51M$79M$38M$36M
EPS (Diluted)$1.70$2.66$1.29$1.20
Gross Margin89.8%94.2%92.5%94.3%
Operating Margin41.5%42.3%40.9%41.0%
Net Margin48.0%81.2%39.9%40.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 473.0%Profit margin 30.7%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade B — 77/100Score impact: -10.9pt

Volume
66
364K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$100M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
75
$8.0B
Range
100
143% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$38.86$102.9990.4%Wide
2022$47.67$85.1156.4%Wide
2023$69.81$132.6862.1%Wide
2024$107.50$219.3468.4%Wide
2025$122.80$265.9273.6%Wide
3-Year Range
116.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
79.3%
Outstanding Shares
29M
Bid-Ask Spread
143.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.