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64

RPRX

🏥 Healthcare

Royalty Pharma plc

Conservative #221Aggressive #720Low RiskMixed 55
$45.15-0.55%
Day High$45.62
Day Low$45.01
Volume2.7M
Mkt Cap$19.3B
52W Low $3052W High $46
Market Cap
$19.3B
P/E Ratio
25.1
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
5.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-10.2%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.38

Why This Score

RPRX scores 64.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 32.4%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Low volatility (5.2% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (38%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.38) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-4.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.0
Fundamental Score72.7
ML Score30.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.2
6 Month
75.1
Primary
1 Year
79.0

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-599.6%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
65
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
92
Grade A
Base
64.2
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-4.2
Final
64.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.8% to +3.4%
Medium-term
-0.5% to +5.9%
Long-term
-0.1% to +8.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 30

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.7/100
Target Upside+8.6%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score65.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.72)
Relative Strength vs Sector+13.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.364
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
10%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P49
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P21
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P95
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 79th percentileP79
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (64.0) + 9% ML (78.8) + SHAP(+4.4) = 69.7
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.2%. Stability bonus of +11.6 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($19.3B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (65.6%) exceeds net margin (32.4%) by 33pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (-599.6%) — earnings quality concern; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 7.2% (original: 8.9%). Biotechnology has ~40% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~100%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #26 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RPRX64.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 1
Price Target
$49consensus
Low $42Median $47High $61
+9.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Royalty Pharma plc operates as a buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties and a funder of innovations in the biopharmaceutical industry in the United States. It is also involved in the identification, evaluation, and acquisition of royalties on various biopharmaceutical therapies. In addition, the company collaborates with innovators from academic institutions, research hospitals and not-for-profits, small and mid-cap biotechnology companies, and pharmaceutical companies. Its portfolio consists of royalties on approximately 35 marketed therapies and 10 development-stage product candidates that address various therapeutic areas, such as rare disease, cancer, neurology, infectious disease, hematology, and diabetes. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Pablo Legorreta
Employees
75
Beta
0.42
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2.1%
High: $46.14
From 52W Low
+52.2%
Low: $29.66
Moving Averages
10-Day
$45.10
Above
20-Day
$44.00
Above
50-Day
$41.30
Above
200-Day
$37.50
Above
60-Day Support
$37.83
60-Day Resistance
$46.14
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 79/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+20.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.17%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.98x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$622M$609M$579M$568M
Gross Profit$622M$609M$579M$568M
Operating Income$388M$427M$210M$534M
Net Income$214M$288M$30M$238M
EPS (Diluted)$0.50$0.67$0.07$0.55
Gross Margin100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin62.4%70.1%36.3%94.0%
Net Margin34.4%47.3%5.2%41.9%

Why This Stock

HealthcareProfit margin 32.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 92/100Score impact: +3.5pt

Volume
100
4.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$185M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
85
$19.3B
Range
88
56% spread
Composite Liquidity Score92/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 22/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$34.86$48.7533.2%Moderate
2022$36.15$44.7521.3%Narrow
2023$25.92$39.9242.5%Wide
2024$24.05$31.6627.3%Moderate
2025$25.40$41.2447.5%Wide
3-Year Range
52.7%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
56.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.