Back to Dashboard
90

INCY

🏥 Healthcare

Incyte Corporation

Conservative #1Aggressive #2Low RiskMixed 54
$99.98-1.06%
Day High$101.16
Day Low$98.57
Volume1.5M
Mkt Cap$19.9B
52W Low $5452W High $112
Market Cap
$20.1B
P/E Ratio
15.8
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
21.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
3845.0%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

INCY scores 89.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 24.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 25.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (38%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (97/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.

No material penalties applied. INCY ranks #1 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score89.6
Fundamental Score82.7
ML Score97.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.3
6 Month
91.9
Primary
1 Year
96.8

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
85.6
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Final
89.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

80AVG
Value85
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)85.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)86.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+11.9% to +18.1%
Medium-term
+17.4% to +26.6%
Long-term
+28.4% to +41.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 97

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+8.3%
Coverage44 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+18.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.52)
Relative Strength vs Sector+13.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.6)
Momentum Quality+0.355
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P70
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P30
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P87
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 84 relative to sector peers84/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 98th percentileP98
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (84.4) + 9% ML (97.6) + SHAP(+3.7) = 89.3
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.1%Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($20.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (3845%) massively exceeds revenue growth (21.2%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 181x — earnings quality suspect; Jakafi (ruxolitinib): LOE 2028 (65% of revenue, 2yr)Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #1 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
BMRN69.722.318.0%15.0%$11.5B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy44 analysts
Buy: 24Hold: 18Sell: 2
Price Target
$109consensus
Low $84Median $109High $135
+8.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics in the United States and internationally. The company offers JAKAFI, a drug for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that act as oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Its clinical stage products include ruxolitinib, a steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD); itacitinib, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial to treat naive chronic GVHD; and pemigatinib for treating bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic. In addition, the company engages in developing Parsaclisib, which is in Phase II clinical trial for follicular lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, and mantel cell lymphoma. Additionally, it develops Retifanlimab that is in Phase II clinical trials for MSI-high endometrial cancer, merkel cell carcinoma, and anal cancer, as well as in Phase II clinical trials for patients with non-small cell lung cancer. It has collaboration agreements with Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd.; Eli Lilly and Company; Agenus Inc.; Calithera Biosciences, Inc; MacroGenics, Inc.; Merus N.V.; Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Innovent Biologics, Inc.; Zai Lab Limited; Cellenkos, Inc.; and Nimble Therapeutics, as well as clinical collaborations with MorphoSys AG and Xencor, Inc. to investigate the combination of tafasitamab, plamotamab, and lenalidomide in patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

CEO
William J. Meury
Employees
2,617
Beta
0.85
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11%
High: $112.29
From 52W Low
+86.7%
Low: $53.56
Moving Averages
10-Day
$101.00
Below
20-Day
$101.90
Below
50-Day
$102.10
Below
200-Day
$87.00
Above
60-Day Support
$93.54
60-Day Resistance
$112.29
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+14.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+14.98%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.5B$1.4B$1.2B$1.1B
Gross Profit$1.4B$1.3B$1.1B$963M
Operating Income$384M$444M$311M$217M
Net Income$299M$424M$405M$158M
EPS (Diluted)$1.46$2.11$2.04$0.80
Gross Margin90.9%92.8%92.1%91.5%
Operating Margin25.5%32.5%25.6%20.6%
Net Margin19.9%31.1%33.3%15.0%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 15.8Revenue growth 21.2%Profit margin 25.0%Earnings quality grade F

Tradability FilterGrade A — 98/100Score impact: +2.3pt

Volume
100
2.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$205M/day
Float
100
197M shares
Mkt Cap
85
$20.1B
Range
100
110% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 8/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$61.91$88.2635.1%Wide
2022$65.07$84.8626.4%Moderate
2023$50.27$86.2952.8%Wide
2024$50.35$83.9550%Wide
2025$53.56$109.2868.4%Wide
3-Year Range
74%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.0%
Outstanding Shares
199M
Bid-Ask Spread
110.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.