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73

AMGN

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Amgen Inc.

Conservative #48Aggressive #38Low RiskMixed 45MLโ†‘ 28pt
$384.33+0.38%
Day High$387.49
Day Low$380.65
Volume2.4M
Mkt Cap$207.2B
52W Low $26152W High $387
Market Cap
$199.0B
P/E Ratio
26.0
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
10.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
88.5%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
6.31

Why This Score

AMGN scores 73.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 89.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 21.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (25%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • Large-cap ($199B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (93/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 6.31) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.8 points) applied. AMGN's rank of #48 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score73.8
Fundamental Score66.2
ML Score93.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
83.8
6 Month
93.7
Primary
1 Year
98.6

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 6.3x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
71.6
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-1.8
Final
73.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth90
Stability35
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)63.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)49.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+11.9% to +18.1%
Medium-term
+17.4% to +26.6%
Long-term
+28.4% to +41.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 93

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside-8.9%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score44.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.79)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.1)
Momentum Quality+0.222
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P57
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P19
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P82
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 95th percentileP95
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (67.3) + 9% ML (95.0) + SHAP(+4.4) = 74.2โ€”
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.1%. Stability bonus of +9.9 points. Max drawdown 10% (-0.6 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($199.0B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.6pt (ML 28pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -13 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 6.3x โ€” balance sheet risk; Enbrel (etanercept): LOE 2029 (10% of revenue, 3yr); Prolia (denosumab): LOE 2025 (15% of revenue, -1yr); R&D-adjusted ROIC: 15.1% (original: 16.8%). Drug Manufacturers - General has ~18% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~45%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #8 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
BMRN69.722.318.0%15.0%$11.5B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy37 analysts
Buy: 22Hold: 12Sell: 3
Price Target
$347consensus
Low $185Median $360High $432
-9.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Amgen Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers human therapeutics worldwide. It focuses on inflammation, oncology/hematology, bone health, cardiovascular disease, nephrology, and neuroscience areas. The company's products include Enbrel to treat plaque psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and psoriatic arthritis; Neulasta that reduces the chance of infection due a low white blood cell count in patients cancer; Prolia to treat postmenopausal women with osteoporosis; Xgeva for skeletal-related events prevention; Otezla for the treatment of adult patients with plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, and oral ulcers associated with Behรงet's disease; Aranesp to treat a lower-than-normal number of red blood cells and anemia; KYPROLIS to treat patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma; and Repatha, which reduces the risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, and coronary revascularization. It also markets Nplate, Vectibix, MVASI, Parsabiv, EPOGEN, KANJINTI, BLINCYTO, Aimovig, EVENITY, AMGEVITATM, Sensipar/Mimpara, NEUPOGEN, IMLYGIC, Corlanor, and AVSOLA. Amgen Inc. serves healthcare providers, including physicians or their clinics, dialysis centers, hospitals, and pharmacies. It distributes its products through pharmaceutical wholesale distributors, as well as direct-to-consumer channels. It has collaboration agreements with Novartis Pharma AG; UCB; Bayer HealthCare LLC; BeiGene, Ltd.; Eli Lilly and Company; Datos Health; and Verastem, Inc. to evaluate VS-6766 in combination with lumakrastm (Sotorasib) in patients with KRAS G12C-mutant non-small cell lung cancer. It has an agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. to jointly develop and commercialize KHK4083, a Phase 3-ready anti-OX40 fully human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of atopic dermatitis and other autoimmune diseases; and research and development collaboration with Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. and Plexium, Inc. Amgen Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California.

CEO
Robert A. Bradway
Employees
28,000
Beta
0.47
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - General
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.8%
High: $387.49
From 52W Low
+47%
Low: $261.43
Moving Averages
10-Day
$375.20
Above
20-Day
$366.10
Above
50-Day
$345.30
Above
200-Day
$308.60
Above
60-Day Support
$312.39
60-Day Resistance
$387.49
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 78/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+24.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.47%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$9.9B$9.6B$9.2B$8.1B
Gross Profit$8.1B$6.5B$6.2B$5.2B
Operating Income$3.9B$2.5B$2.6B$1.2B
Net Income$1.3B$3.2B$1.4B$1.7B
EPS (Diluted)$2.45$5.93$2.65$3.20
Gross Margin81.9%67.8%67.2%63.6%
Operating Margin39.8%26.4%28.8%14.5%
Net Margin13.5%33.7%15.6%21.2%

Why This Stock

HealthcareProfit margin 21.0%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: -2.6pt

Volume
100
2.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.1B/day
Float
100
538M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$199.0B
Range
84
47% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 33/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$198.64$261.0027.1%Moderate
2022$214.39$296.6732.2%Moderate
2023$211.71$289.0430.9%Moderate
2024$253.30$346.8531.2%Moderate
2025$257.05$346.3829.6%Moderate
3-Year Range
48.4%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.7%
Outstanding Shares
539M
Bid-Ask Spread
47.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.