Back to Dashboard
66

JAZZ

🏥 Healthcare

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc

Conservative #169Aggressive #125Low RiskHigh 85
$196.83+13.23%
Day High$197.47
Day Low$178.00
Volume5.5M
Mkt Cap$12.0B
52W Low $9552W High $197
Market Cap
$10.1B
P/E Ratio
7.9
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
6.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
35.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.51

Why This Score

JAZZ scores 65.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 7.9x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (16%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (85/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (10.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.51) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.0 points) applied. JAZZ's rank of #169 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.9
Fundamental Score58.6
ML Score80.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
80.4
6 Month
89.8
Primary
1 Year
94.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
62.9
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+0.9
Divergence
-1.0
Final
65.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

71AVG
Value95
Quality70
Growth90
Stability45
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)64.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.5% to +11.9%
Medium-term
+10.7% to +18.9%
Long-term
+16.4% to +27.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 80

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.8/100
Target Upside+18.5%
Coverage47 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-14.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.53)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.5)
Momentum Quality+0.136
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
17%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P51
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P36
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P97
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 73 relative to sector peers73/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (72.7) + 9% ML (85.2) + SHAP(+4.3) = 78.1
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 10.4%. Max drawdown 15% (-2.6 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($10.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.8pt (conviction=85)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.5x — elevated balance sheet risk; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 7.3% (original: 9.1%). Biotechnology has ~40% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~100%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #20 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
JAZZ65.97.96.1%13.8%$10.1B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy47 analysts
Buy: 41Hold: 6
Price Target
$205consensus
Low $170Median $205High $235
+4.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc, a biopharmaceutical company, identifies, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products for various unmet medical needs in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company has a portfolio of products and product candidates with a focus in the areas of neuroscience, including sleep medicine and movement disorders; and in oncology, including hematologic and solid tumors. Its lead marketed products include Xyrem, an oral solution for the treatment of cataplexy and excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) in narcolepsy patients seven years of age and older; Sunosi for the treatment of EDS in patients with narcolepsy and obstructive sleep apnea; Erwinaze to treat acute lymphoblastic leukemia; Defitelio for the treatment of adult and pediatric patients with hepatic veno-occlusive disease; Vyxeos liposome for injection, a product for the treatment of adults with newly-diagnosed therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia; and Zepzelca for the treatment of adult patients with metastatic small cell lung cancer. The company also offers Xywav, an oxybate product candidate, to treat EDS and cataplexy with narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia; JZP-324, a low sodium oxybate formulation with the potential to provide a clinically meaningful option for narcolepsy patients; JZP385, a T-type calcium channel modulator, for the treatment of essential tremor; JZP458, a recombinant Erwinia asparaginase, for use as a component of a multi-agent chemotherapeutic regimen in the treatment of pediatric and adult patients; and JZP150 for treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder. The company has licensing and collaboration agreements with ImmunoGen, Inc.; Codiak BioSciences, Inc.; Pfenex, Inc.; XL-protein GmbH; and Redx Pharma plc. Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Renee D. Gala
Employees
2,800
Beta
0.25
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
91.8
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.3%
High: $197.47
From 52W Low
+106.1%
Low: $95.49
Moving Averages
10-Day
$172.10
Above
20-Day
$168.70
Above
50-Day
$168.50
Above
200-Day
$137.50
Above
60-Day Support
$156.95
60-Day Resistance
$197.47
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 95/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+43.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.59%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.26x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.2B$1.1B$1.0B$898M
Gross Profit$1.2B$868M$929M$793M
Operating Income$909M$58M$-686M$-56M
Net Income$203M$251M$-718M$-93M
EPS (Diluted)$3.34$4.08$-11.74$-1.52
Gross Margin97.9%77.1%88.9%88.3%
Operating Margin75.9%5.1%-65.6%-6.2%
Net Margin17.0%22.3%-68.7%-10.3%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 7.9Profit margin 13.8%Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 7.9)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -13.6pt

Volume
100
991K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$172M/day
Float
84
59M shares
Mkt Cap
80
$10.1B
Range
100
92% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 5/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$117.64$189.0046.5%Wide
2022$125.36$169.9830.2%Moderate
2023$111.25$160.9636.5%Wide
2024$99.06$134.1730.1%Moderate
2025$95.49$182.9962.8%Wide
3-Year Range
62.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
96.9%
Outstanding Shares
61M
Bid-Ask Spread
92.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.