Back to Dashboard
29

PHVS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Pharvaris N.V.

Conservative #1098Aggressive #1172Low RiskFโ†‘ 40pt
$28.00+1.34%
Day High$28.31
Day Low$27.06
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $1252W High $30
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-33.1%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

PHVS scores 29.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (11.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -15.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, PHVS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score29.4
Fundamental Score48.5
ML Score9.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
13.5
6 Month
15.1
Primary
1 Year
15.9

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
89
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
61
Grade B
Base
35.6
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-3.0
Divergence
-3.7
Final
29.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

34AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth20
Stability82
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)86.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)90.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.6% to -3.8%
Medium-term
-12.6% to -4.3%
Long-term
-15.6% to -4.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 9

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.5/100
Target Upside+66.9%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score89.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.7%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+44.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.33)
Relative Strength vs Sector+41.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.591
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P25
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 9th percentileP9
Blended score: 80% fundamental (49) + 20% ML (9) = 40.640.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -3.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -3.7pt (ML 40pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #208 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PHVS29.4N/A0.0%0.0%$1.8B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 9Hold: 1
Price Target
$46consensus
Low $38Median $41High $60
+62.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Pharvaris N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for rare diseases. The company develops PHA121, a small molecule bradykinin B2-receptor antagonist that is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of hereditary angioedema (HAE). It also develops PHVS416, an on-demand, rapid exposure soft capsule for patients suffering from acute HAE attacks and is under Phase 2 clinical trial; and PHVS719, a prophylactic extended-release tablet for HAE patients and is under Phase 1 clinical trial. It operates in the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the United States. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Leiden, the Netherlands.

CEO
Berndt Axel Edvard Modig
Employees
108
Beta
-2.79
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
72.2
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6%
High: $29.8
From 52W Low
+143.3%
Low: $11.51
Moving Averages
10-Day
$27.40
Above
20-Day
$27.20
Above
50-Day
$26.50
Above
200-Day
$22.70
Above
60-Day Support
$23.15
60-Day Resistance
$29.8
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 86/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+23.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+16.42%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.51x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$-97,024
Operating Income$-40M$-40M$42M$-48M
Net Income$-37M$-45M$-46M$-37M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.60$-0.83$-0.85$-0.64
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 61/100Score impact: -16.9pt

Volume
59
290K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
56
26M shares
Mkt Cap
56
$1.8B
Range
100
159% spread
Composite Liquidity Score61/100
FDCBA
Free Float
40.1%
Outstanding Shares
65M
Bid-Ask Spread
159.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.