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ORIC

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Conservative #1185Aggressive #1103Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 31pt
$13.50+0.75%
Day High$13.69
Day Low$12.78
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$1.3B
52W Low $452W High $15
Market Cap
$1.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-27.0%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

ORIC scores 25.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (24%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (21.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.4
Fundamental Score30.8
ML Score12.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
21.4
6 Month
24.0
Primary
1 Year
25.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.1B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.8%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
80
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
27.0
SHAP
+0.2
Conviction
-1.3
Divergence
-0.6
Final
25.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

30AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth20
Stability62
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)43.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)45.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)89.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.2% to -1.1%
Medium-term
-13.2% to -1.3%
Long-term
-17.2% to -1.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 12

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+90.0%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score80.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+26.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.10)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality+0.152
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P20
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 31 relative to sector peers31/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 12th percentileP12
Blended score: 80% fundamental (31) + 20% ML (12) = 27.027.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 38% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.6pt (ML 19pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.1B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #241 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ORIC25.4N/A0.0%0.0%$1.3B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapies for treatment of cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include ORIC-533, an orally bioavailable small molecule inhibitor of CD73 being developed for resistance to chemotherapy- and immunotherapy-based treatment regimens; ORIC-944, an allosteric inhibitor of the polycomb repressive complex 2 for prostate cancer; and ORIC-114, a brain penetrant orally bioavailable irreversible inhibitor designed to selectively target epidermal growth factor receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 with high potency towards exon 20 insertion mutations. The company is also developing multiple discovery stage precision medicines targeting other cancer resistance mechanisms. It has a license and collaboration agreement with Voronoi Inc.; and a license agreement with Mirati Therapeutics, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

CEO
Jacob Chacko
Employees
122
Beta
1.34
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
81.9
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.6%
High: $14.93
From 52W Low
+246.2%
Low: $3.9
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.60
Above
20-Day
$11.10
Above
50-Day
$10.20
Above
200-Day
$10.50
Above
60-Day Support
$7.84
60-Day Resistance
$14.25
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+28.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.42%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.06x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
7
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-320,000$0$0$0
Operating Income$-35M$-37M$-39M$-33M
Net Income$-31M$-33M$-36M$-30M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.30$-0.33$-0.47$-0.42
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 80/100Score impact: -10.0pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
75
$17M/day
Float
76
46M shares
Mkt Cap
43
$1.3B
Range
100
283% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
47.1%
Outstanding Shares
97M
Bid-Ask Spread
283.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.