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47

SYRE

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Spyre Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #695Aggressive #276Low RiskFโ†‘ 21pt
$43.15-1.66%
Day High$44.26
Day Low$42.03
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$2.6B
52W Low $1152W High $46
Market Cap
$2.6B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
25.4%
Profit Margin
-171.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

SYRE scores 47.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (15.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-4.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.1
Fundamental Score47.4
ML Score50.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
26.6
6 Month
29.7
Primary
1 Year
31.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $2.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth โ€” negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
45.0
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+0.2
Conviction
-0.8
Final
47.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

40AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth59
Stability81
Investment12

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)91.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.3% to -1.4%
Medium-term
-8.8% to -1.5%
Long-term
-11.2% to -1.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 50

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+9.1%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score70.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.9%
6M Momentum+1.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-36.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.70)
Relative Strength vs Sector+61.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.797
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
Blended score: 80% fundamental (47) + 20% ML (50) = 47.947.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 7% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.7pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $2.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_GROWTH (3.0pt penalty)Speculative

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #99 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SYRE47.1N/A0.0%-171.5%$2.6B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 6
Price Target
$48consensus
Low $43Median $48High $53
+11.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Spyre Therapeutics, Inc., a preclinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing therapeutics for patients living with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). It develops SPY001, a human monoclonal immunoglobulin G1 antibody designed to bind selectively to the a4รŸ7 integrin being developed for the treatment of IBD (ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease). The company is also developing SPY002, a human monoclonal antibody (mAb)candidates designed to bind to tumor necrosis factor-like ligand 1A; and SPY120, a combination of SPY001 (anti-a4รŸ7) and SPY002 (anti-TL1A) antibodies, which are in preclinical studies. In addition, its other early-stage programs include SPY003, an anti-IL-23 mAb; SPY004, a novel mechanism of action (MOA) mAb; SPY130, a combination of anti-a4รŸ7 and anti-IL-23 mAbs; and SPY230, a combination of anti-TL1A and anti-IL-23 mAbs. The company was formerly known as Aeglea BioTherapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2023. Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.

CEO
Cameron Turtle
Employees
73
Beta
3.16
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
79.0
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.7%
High: $45.76
From 52W Low
+295.5%
Low: $10.91
Moving Averages
10-Day
$40.00
Above
20-Day
$36.60
Above
50-Day
$34.20
Above
200-Day
$22.80
Above
60-Day Support
$28
60-Day Resistance
$45.76
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+89.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+29.39%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.27x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
97
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$90M$0$0$0
Gross Profit$45M$-45M$0$0
Operating Income$-57M$-57M$-42M$-54M
Net Income$-63M$-11M$-37M$-45M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.69$-0.15$-0.60$-0.13
Gross Margin50.0%N/AN/AN/A
Operating Margin-63.2%N/AN/AN/A
Net Margin-69.1%N/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 85/100Score impact: -15.1pt

Volume
90
748K avg/day
Dollar Vol
89
$33M/day
Float
81
53M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.6B
Range
100
319% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$86.75$219.7586.8%Wide
2022$8.50$120.75173.7%Wide
2023$2.65$24.00160.2%Wide
2024$18.54$47.9788.5%Wide
2025$10.91$35.31105.6%Wide
3-Year Range
179.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
87.0%
Outstanding Shares
60M
Bid-Ask Spread
319.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.