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CNTA

🏥 Healthcare

Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc

Conservative #1110Aggressive #1105Moderate RiskMixed 53F↑ 16pt
$26.97+1.70%
Day High$27.56
Day Low$26.12
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$3.6B
52W Low $1052W High $31
Market Cap
$3.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-100.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-56.0%
Profit Margin
-1618.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.39

Why This Score

CNTA scores 30.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (16.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.0
Fundamental Score39.8
ML Score27.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
11.8
6 Month
13.2
Primary
1 Year
13.8

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $3.3B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Anomalous margin data — extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 7 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.9%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
84
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
91
Grade A
Base
31.0
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
-0.8
Divergence
-0.8
Final
30.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)31.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)89.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-25.4% to -14.4%
Medium-term
-34.3% to -18.6%
Long-term
-43.2% to -22.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 27

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.7/100
Target Upside+46.2%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score83.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+11.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector+34.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.499
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
13%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P2
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P34
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (44.2) + 9% ML (27.3) + SHAP(+0.6) = 43.3—
Factor quality: -0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 16.3%. Max drawdown 15% (-2.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.3B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.8pt (fund 16pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -21 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-1425.3%) exceeds net margin (-1618.0%) by 193pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (25.5%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $3.3B biotech/pharma — limited product diversificationFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #218 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CNTA30.0N/A-100.0%-1618.0%$3.3B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 1
Price Target
$37consensus
Low $31Median $38High $42
+38.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc, a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and delivers medicines to patients. Its registrational pipeline products include Lixivaptan, a vasopressin V2 receptor small molecule inhibitor that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease; and SerpinPC, an activated protein C inhibitor, which is in Phase IIa clinical development for the treatment of hemophilia A and B. The company also has emerging pipeline products under clinical proof of concept stage comprising LB101, a PD-L1xCD47 LockBody, as well as LB201, a PD-L1xCD3 LockBody, which are designed to selectively drive potent CD47 and CD3 effector function activity while avoiding systemic toxicity; ZF874, a small molecule pharmacological chaperone folding corrector of the Z variant of alpha-1-antitrypsin in Phase I clinical development for the treatment of alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency; MGX292, a recombinant modified BMP9 replacement protein designed to overcome the deficiency in BMP9 signaling in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension; and OX2R Agonists that are oral and intranasal selective orexin receptor 2 agonists designed to leverage structural insights and to directly target the underlying pathophysiology of orexin neuron loss in Narcolepsy Type 1. In addition, the company has exploratory pipeline products under clinical proof of concept stage containing CBS001, an anti-LIGHT antibody, which preferentially binds the inflammatory membrane form of LIGHT in inflammatory/fibrotic diseases; and CBS004, a humanized mAb specific to BDCA2, expressed exclusively on plasmacytoid dendritic cells in systemic sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and other autoimmune diseases. Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Altrincham, the United Kingdom.

CEO
Mario Alberto Accardi
Employees
77
Beta
1.57
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
66.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.8%
High: $30.58
From 52W Low
+180.9%
Low: $9.6
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.10
Above
20-Day
$24.80
Above
50-Day
$24.40
Above
200-Day
$20.50
Above
60-Day Support
$21.5
60-Day Resistance
$30.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 95/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+31.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+18.37%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.8x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$15M$0
Gross Profit$0$0$15M$0
Operating Income$-54M$-55M$-31M$-75M
Net Income$-55M$-50M$-26M$-111M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.41$-0.38$-0.20$-0.84
Gross MarginN/AN/A100.0%N/A
Operating MarginN/AN/A-205.2%N/A
Net MarginN/AN/A-174.2%N/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 91/100Score impact: -18.5pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
91
$37M/day
Float
95
87M shares
Mkt Cap
64
$3.3B
Range
100
219% spread
Composite Liquidity Score91/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$10.31$26.9089.2%Wide
2022$2.89$11.81121.5%Wide
2023$3.00$8.6597%Wide
2024$6.65$18.9796.2%Wide
2025$9.60$30.58104.4%Wide
3-Year Range
164.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
64.4%
Outstanding Shares
134M
Bid-Ask Spread
219.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.