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APGE

🏥 Healthcare

Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #944Aggressive #404Moderate RiskMixed 46F↑ 27pt
$70.89-0.53%
Day High$73.71
Day Low$70.53
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$3.9B
52W Low $2652W High $85
Market Cap
$4.7B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-116.9%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.68

Why This Score

APGE scores 36.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (15.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.68) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.9 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score36.7
Fundamental Score32.3
ML Score88.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
9.5
6 Month
10.6
Primary
1 Year
11.2

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $4.7B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
87
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
90
Grade A
Base
43.5
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-0.4
Divergence
-6.1
Final
36.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)25.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)90.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage80%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-12.6% to -6.0%
Medium-term
-16.6% to -7.3%
Long-term
-20.6% to -8.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 88

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.4/100
Target Upside+56.4%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score87.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.2%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+29.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector+91.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.968
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P24
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P33
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 53 relative to sector peers53/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 26th percentileP26
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (53.2) + 9% ML (24.7) + SHAP(+0.2) = 50.9—
Factor quality: -0.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.9%. Max drawdown 16% (-3.3 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -1.8pt (116% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.7B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.5pt (fund 27pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $4.7B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.7x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #157 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
APGE36.7N/A0.0%0.0%$4.7B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Buy: 6Hold: 1
Price Target
$109consensus
Low $83Median $103High $137
+53.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Apogee Therapeutics, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates as a biotechnology company that develops biologics for the treatment of atopic dermatitis (AD), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and related inflammatory and immunology indications. The company primarily develops APG777, a subcutaneous (SQ) extended half-life monoclonal antibody (mAb) for AD; and APG808, an SQ extended half-life mAb for COPD. Its earlier-stage programs include APG990, an SQ extended half-life mAb for the treatment of AD; and APG222, an extended half-life SQ antibodies for AD. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.

CEO
Michael Thomas Henderson
Employees
196
Beta
1.43
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16.2%
High: $84.56
From 52W Low
+170.6%
Low: $26.2
Moving Averages
10-Day
$69.20
Above
20-Day
$67.50
Above
50-Day
$73.40
Below
200-Day
$52.80
Above
60-Day Support
$60.35
60-Day Resistance
$84.56
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+34.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+27.27%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.79x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-400,000$0$0$0
Operating Income$-71M$-73M$-63M$-76M
Net Income$-65M$-66M$-55M$-67M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.11$-1.13$-0.95$-1.22
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 90/100Score impact: -39.4pt

Volume
99
977K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$68M/day
Float
80
50M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$4.7B
Range
100
223% spread
Composite Liquidity Score90/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2023$14.19$33.0879.9%Wide
2024$27.05$72.2991.1%Wide
2025$26.20$80.99102.2%Wide
3-Year Range
140.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 3
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
92.0%
Outstanding Shares
55M
Bid-Ask Spread
223.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.