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48

CELC

🏥 Healthcare

Celcuity Inc.

Aggressive #650High RiskMixed 48F↑ 26pt
$107.38+1.50%
Day High$111.28
Day Low$106.17
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$5.0B
52W Low $852W High $120
Market Cap
$4.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-75.3%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
2.74

Why This Score

CELC scores 47.5 on the Aggressive profile, blending a fundamental score (55% weight, emphasizing growth and momentum (91% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (45% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong momentum (1008%) — the market is rewarding this name.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (1008%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.74) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -10.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CELC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.5
Fundamental Score44.6
ML Score70.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
3.4
6 Month
3.8
Primary
1 Year
4.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
7.6%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
65
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
84
Grade A
Base
49.1
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.8
Conviction
-0.1
Divergence
-1.6
Final
47.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)59.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-18.8% to -11.0%
Medium-term
-26.0% to -14.8%
Long-term
-32.7% to -18.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 70

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.2/100
Target Upside-5.0%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+10.1%
6M Momentum+1.0%
Volatility+0.5%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+904.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.10)
Relative Strength vs Sector+983.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+9.621
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
10%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P43
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P39
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P44
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 18th percentileP18
ML model weight reduced to 26% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected26% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 74% fund (43.8) + 26% ML (16.7) + SHAP(+0.9) = 37.7—
Factor quality: -0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.0pt (1008% 12m momentum)—
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -2 pointsGrade A
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (fund 26pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Strong momentum 1008% → +12.0ptHigh
Quality concern: High leverage: D/E ratio of 2.7x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #94 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CELC47.5N/A0.0%0.0%$4.8B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 1
Price Target
$99consensus
Low $77Median $95High $126
-7.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Celcuity Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on the development of molecularly targeted therapies for cancer patients in the United States. The company's CELsignia diagnostic platform uses a patient's living tumor cells to identify the specific abnormal cellular process driving a patient's cancer and the related targeted therapy for the treatment. Its drug candidate includes Gedatolisib, which selectively targets various class I isoforms of PI3K and mammalian target of rapamycin and focus on the treatment of patients with hormone receptor positive, HER2-negative, and advanced or metastatic breast cancer. The company is also developing CELsignia MP test, a qualitative laboratory developed test that measures HER2, c-Met, and PI3K signaling activity in breast and ovarian tumor cells. It had a license agreement with Pfizer, Inc. for the development and commercialization rights to Gedatolisib. Celcuity Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Brian F. Sullivan
Employees
87
Beta
0.38
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.8%
High: $120.32
From 52W Low
+1316.6%
Low: $7.58
Moving Averages
10-Day
$105.70
Above
20-Day
$107.30
Above
50-Day
$105.90
Above
200-Day
$61.00
Above
60-Day Support
$96.7
60-Day Resistance
$120.32
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+76%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+87.18%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.71x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-41,000$0$0$-35,254
Operating Income$-43M$-44M$-36M$-36M
Net Income$-44M$-45M$-37M$-37M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.92$-1.04$-0.86$-0.85
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 84/100Score impact: -13.9pt

Volume
93
824K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$87M/day
Float
55
25M shares
Mkt Cap
67
$4.8B
Range
100
1488% spread
Composite Liquidity Score84/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$11.72$33.0195.2%Wide
2022$4.81$14.3499.5%Wide
2023$8.39$15.6260.2%Wide
2024$11.51$22.1963.4%Wide
2025$7.58$112.64174.8%Wide
3-Year Range
174.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
53.3%
Outstanding Shares
46M
Bid-Ask Spread
1488.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.