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36

TTAN

💻 Technology

ServiceTitan, Inc.

Conservative #954Aggressive #605Moderate RiskLow 32ML↑ 34pt
$66.11+2.85%
Day High$66.59
Day Low$62.26
Volume1.2M
Mkt Cap$6.2B
52W Low $5852W High $131
Market Cap
$5.9B
P/E Ratio
57.1
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
25.6%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-22.5%
Profit Margin
-31.0%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Why This Score

TTAN scores 36.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 57.1x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (13.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.7 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score36.4
Fundamental Score30.8
ML Score61.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.4
6 Month
74.2
Primary
1 Year
78.1

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
89
Grade A
Base
36.8
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.8
Conviction
-1.7
Divergence
-2.3
Final
36.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

54AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth60
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)35.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)31.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.5% to +8.5%
Medium-term
+5.8% to +13.4%
Long-term
+9.0% to +19.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 61

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+108.6%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+7.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.82)
Relative Strength vs Sector-37.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality-0.182
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P82
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P20
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P23
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (43.7) + 9% ML (77.8) + SHAP(+1.8) = 48.5—
Factor quality: +1.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.3%. Max drawdown 46% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -34% (-5.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($5.9B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.7pt (conviction=32)—
Divergence penalty: -3.6pt (ML 34pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #215 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TTAN36.457.125.6%-31.0%$5.9B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 12Hold: 2
Price Target
$131consensus
Low $117Median $130High $145
+98.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

ServiceTitan, Inc. engages in the collection of field service activities required to install, maintain, and service the infrastructure and systems of residences and commercial buildings. The company was founded by Ara Mahdessian and Vahe Kuzoyan on June 8, 2008 and is headquartered in Glendale, CA.

CEO
Ara Mahdessian
Employees
3,049
Beta
-0.86
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
53.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-49.7%
High: $131.33
From 52W Low
+14%
Low: $58.01
Moving Averages
10-Day
$63.60
Above
20-Day
$67.30
Below
50-Day
$87.90
Below
200-Day
$101.20
Below
60-Day Support
$58.01
60-Day Resistance
$111.36
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 15/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-34.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-3.22%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.31x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
30
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$249M$242M$216M$209M
Gross Profit$171M$171M$148M$138M
Operating Income$-42M$-35M$50M$-100M
Net Income$-40M$-32M$-46M$-101M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.43$-0.35$-0.51$-2.80
Gross Margin68.6%70.8%68.8%66.0%
Operating Margin-16.9%-14.4%23.0%-47.7%
Net Margin-15.9%-13.3%-21.5%-48.2%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 25.6%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 89/100Score impact: -12.0pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$85M/day
Float
67
37M shares
Mkt Cap
70
$5.9B
Range
100
126% spread
Composite Liquidity Score89/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
39.7%
Outstanding Shares
94M
Bid-Ask Spread
126.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.