Back to Dashboard
77

CSCO

💻 Technology

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Conservative #23Aggressive #215Low RiskMixed 54ML↑ 23pt
$79.12+1.25%
Day High$79.42
Day Low$78.26
Volume22.7M
Mkt Cap$312.6B
52W Low $5252W High $88
Market Cap
$303.6B
P/E Ratio
27.6
Sector avg: 87.4
Rev Growth
5.3%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-1.4%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Sector avg: -109.6%
Debt/Equity
0.60

Why This Score

CSCO scores 77.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 21.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Low volatility (5.1% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (23%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • Large-cap ($304B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.

No material penalties applied. CSCO ranks #23 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score77.1
Fundamental Score70.4
ML Score84.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.9
6 Month
92.6
Primary
1 Year
97.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
75.0
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.9
Final
77.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

71AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth60
Stability75
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+8.6% to +14.3%
Medium-term
+13.4% to +22.0%
Long-term
+20.3% to +32.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 84

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+24.7%
Coverage72 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.55)
Relative Strength vs Sector+19.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.5)
Momentum Quality+0.213
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
16%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P33
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P44
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P55
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 90th percentileP90
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (66.9) + 9% ML (89.7) + SHAP(+3.8) = 72.7—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.1%. Stability bonus of +11.8 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($303.6B market cap)+5.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.9pt (ML 23pt higher)—
Sector diversity: -6.0pt (Technology over-represented)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #7 of 290 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
TER72.290.95.4%19.2%$50.1B
Sector Average47.487.414.8%-109.6%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy72 analysts
Buy: 37Hold: 34Sell: 1
Price Target
$97consensus
Low $91Median $98High $100
+22.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company also offers switching portfolio encompasses campus switching as well as data center switching; enterprise routing portfolio interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering highly secure, and reliable connectivity to campus, data center and branch networks; and wireless products include indoor and outdoor wireless coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications. In addition, it provides security, which comprising network security, identity and access management, secure access service edge, and threat intelligence, detection, and response offerings; collaboration products, such as Webex Suite, collaboration devices, contact center, and communication platform as a service; end-to-end collaboration solutions that can be delivered from the cloud, on-premise or within hybrid cloud environments allowing customers to transition their collaboration solutions from on-premise to the cloud; and observability offers network assurance, monitoring and analytics and observability suite. Further, the company offers a range of service and support options for its customers, including technical support and advanced services and advisory services. It serves businesses of various sizes, public institutions, governments, and service providers. The company sells its products and services directly, as well as through systems integrators, service providers, other resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. has strategic alliances with other companies. Cisco Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

CEO
Charles H. Robbins
Employees
90,400
Beta
0.86
Industry
Communication Equipment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.3%
High: $88.19
From 52W Low
+51.8%
Low: $52.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$78.50
Above
20-Day
$80.30
Below
50-Day
$77.80
Above
200-Day
$71.30
Above
60-Day Support
$72.8
60-Day Resistance
$88.19
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 65/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.07%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.3x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2026Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$15.3B$14.9B$14.7B$14.1B
Gross Profit$10.0B$9.7B$9.3B$9.3B
Operating Income$3.8B$3.4B$3.1B$3.2B
Net Income$3.2B$2.9B$2.5B$2.5B
EPS (Diluted)$0.79$0.72$0.64$0.62
Gross Margin65.0%65.5%63.2%65.6%
Operating Margin24.6%22.6%21.0%22.6%
Net Margin20.7%19.2%17.4%17.6%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 18.0%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 99/100Score impact: +0.2pt

Volume
100
22.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.7B/day
Float
100
3.9B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$303.6B
Range
95
69% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 11/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$44.15$64.2937.1%Wide
2022$38.60$63.3548.6%Wide
2023$45.56$58.1924.3%Narrow
2024$44.50$60.2330%Moderate
2025$52.11$80.8243.2%Wide
3-Year Range
58%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.7%
Outstanding Shares
4.0B
Bid-Ask Spread
69.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.