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85

MPWR

💻 Technology

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Conservative #4Aggressive #3Low RiskLow 33ML↑ 19pt
$1231.95+1.51%
Day High$1255.40
Day Low$1220.24
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$59.0B
52W Low $43952W High $1255
Market Cap
$57.1B
P/E Ratio
91.7
Sector avg: 87.4
Rev Growth
21.2%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
318.1%
Profit Margin
81.0%
Sector avg: -109.6%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

MPWR scores 84.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 56.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 81.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (94/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 91.7x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-0.2 points) applied. MPWR's rank of #4 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score84.8
Fundamental Score77.8
ML Score94.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.9
6 Month
80.4
Primary
1 Year
84.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
70
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
92
Grade A
Base
81.0
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-0.2
Final
84.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value40
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)76.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)91.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.7% to +8.7%
Medium-term
+6.5% to +14.1%
Long-term
+9.4% to +19.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 94

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.0/100
Target Upside+10.9%
Coverage25 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score70.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.9%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+52.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.44)
Relative Strength vs Sector+89.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.842
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P75
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P10
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P28
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 86th percentileP86
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (67.2) + 9% ML (85.8) + SHAP(+3.7) = 72.6—
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.2%. Max drawdown 10% (-0.7 pts)Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -0.7pt (93% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($57.1B market cap)+3.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.6pt (conviction=33)—
Divergence penalty: -1.2pt (ML 19pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (81.0%) exceeds operating margin (24.4%) by 57pp — likely one-time item; Earnings growth (318%) massively exceeds revenue growth (21.2%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; High accrual ratio (27.6%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #1 of 290 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
TER72.290.95.4%19.2%$50.1B
Sector Average47.487.414.8%-109.6%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy25 analysts
Buy: 22Hold: 3
Price Target
$1314consensus
Low $1200Median $1300High $1500
+6.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of semiconductor-based power electronics solutions for the computing and storage, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer markets. The company provides direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs) that are used to convert and control voltages of various electronic systems, such as portable electronic devices, wireless LAN access points, computers and notebooks, monitors, infotainment applications, and medical equipment. It also offers lighting control ICs for backlighting that are used in systems, which provide the light source for LCD panels in notebook computers, monitors, car navigation systems, and televisions, as well as for general illumination products. The company sells its products through third-party distributors and value-added resellers, as well as directly to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, electronic manufacturing service providers, and other end customers in China, Taiwan, Europe, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Japan, the United States, and internationally. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kirkland, Washington.

CEO
Michael R. Hsing
Employees
4,017
Beta
1.46
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
61.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-1.9%
High: $1256.22
From 52W Low
+180.7%
Low: $438.86
Moving Averages
10-Day
$1190.10
Above
20-Day
$1178.90
Above
50-Day
$1058.30
Above
200-Day
$893.40
Above
60-Day Support
$894.39
60-Day Resistance
$1256.22
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+37.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+17.7%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.71x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$751M$737M$665M$638M
Gross Profit$414M$406M$366M$353M
Operating Income$200M$195M$165M$169M
Net Income$170M$178M$134M$134M
EPS (Diluted)$3.46$3.71$2.78$2.79
Gross Margin55.2%55.1%55.1%55.4%
Operating Margin26.6%26.5%24.8%26.5%
Net Margin22.6%24.2%20.1%21.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 21.2%Profit margin 81.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 92/100Score impact: +1.8pt

Volume
88
706K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$840M/day
Float
76
46M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$57.1B
Range
100
185% spread
Composite Liquidity Score92/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$301.51$580.0063.2%Wide
2022$301.69$541.3956.9%Wide
2023$339.28$647.1262.4%Wide
2024$546.71$959.6454.8%Wide
2025$438.86$1123.3887.6%Wide
3-Year Range
107.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
95.2%
Outstanding Shares
48M
Bid-Ask Spread
185.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.