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NICE

💻 Technology

NICE Ltd

Conservative #363Aggressive #297Moderate RiskHigh 100
$111.09-2.75%
Day High$114.47
Day Low$110.65
Volume0.9M
Mkt Cap$6.9B
52W Low $9552W High $181
Market Cap
$6.4B
P/E Ratio
11.8
Sector avg: 87.4
Rev Growth
15.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
30.8%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Sector avg: -109.6%
Debt/Equity
0.16

Why This Score

NICE scores 57.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 11.8x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-7.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score57.5
Fundamental Score54.8
ML Score85.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
78.6
6 Month
87.9
Primary
1 Year
92.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Country Risk:
Score penalty of points applied for domicile risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
46
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
92
Grade A
Base
55.8
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.7
Divergence
-2.3
Final
57.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

84AVG
Value85
Quality85
Growth90
Stability90
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)72.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)41.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.9% to +8.9%
Medium-term
+6.5% to +14.1%
Long-term
+10.2% to +20.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 85

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.1/100
Target Upside+31.0%
Coverage23 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.1%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)
Relative Strength vs Sector-29.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (3.0)
Momentum Quality-0.157
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
24%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P62
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P69
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P92
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 87 relative to sector peers87/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (87.0) + 9% ML (85.0) + SHAP(+3.0) = 89.8
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 8.6%. Max drawdown 39% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -26% (-4.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($6.4B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)
Risk Factors
Country risk: Israel -6.5pt [structural: -2pt, macro: -4.5pt] (Active regional conflict, but strong legal system)Country

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #86 of 290 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NICE57.511.815.0%16.2%$6.4B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.414.8%-109.6%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy23 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 10
Price Target
$151consensus
Low $120Median $150High $200
+35.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions worldwide. It offers CXone, a cloud native open platform that supports contact centers ranging from small single sites to distributed remote agents and enterprises; Enlighten, an AI engine for CX that discovers automation opportunities for self-service; digital-entry points solutions that enable organizations to address consumers' needs; and journey orchestration solutions that empower organizations to connect and route customers to deal with the customer's request, and connecting them using real time AI-based routing. The company also provides smart self service solutions that empower organizations to build intelligent automated conversations based on data; and prepared agent solutions and tools enable contact center agents to guide and alert them in real time so they can provide resolutions; complete performance solutions that help organizations to record structured and unstructured customer interaction and transaction data; and NICE Evidencentral, an digital evidence management platform for public safety emergency communications, law enforcement, and criminal justice helps agencies. In addition, it offers X-Sight, is an open and flexible AI-cloud platform for financial crime and compliance; Xceed, a cloud platform for comprehensive AML and fraud prevention for small and mid-sized organizations; data intelligence solutions that enable organizations to turn raw data into comprehensive actionable intelligence to prevent and detect financial crimes; AI and analytics technologies to detect and prevent financial crimes in real-time; money laundering and fraud prevention solutions that help organizations adhere to capital markets compliance and anti-money laundering compliance regulations; intelligent investigations solutions; and self-service solutions that provide organizations with customization and self-development capabilities. The company was formerly known as NICE-Systems Ltd. and changed its name to NICE Ltd. in June 2016. NICE Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.

CEO
Craig Costigan
Employees
8,726
Beta
0.23
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
48.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-38.5%
High: $180.61
From 52W Low
+17.4%
Low: $94.65
Moving Averages
10-Day
$108.30
Above
20-Day
$109.30
Above
50-Day
$111.50
Below
200-Day
$136.60
Below
60-Day Support
$94.65
60-Day Resistance
$120.12
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 2/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-18.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.59%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.62x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap UpRecent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$791M$732M$727M$700M
Gross Profit$517M$489M$485M$468M
Operating Income$177M$161M$161M$148M
Net Income$151M$145M$187M$129M
EPS (Diluted)$2.43$2.29$2.96$2.01
Gross Margin65.3%66.8%66.8%66.9%
Operating Margin22.4%22.0%22.1%21.2%
Net Margin19.1%19.8%25.8%18.5%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 11.8Revenue growth 15.0%Profit margin 16.2%Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 11.8)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 92/100Score impact: -14.9pt

Volume
96
902K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$103M/day
Float
85
62M shares
Mkt Cap
73
$6.4B
Range
100
91% spread
Composite Liquidity Score92/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$211.25$319.8840.9%Wide
2022$164.65$306.1260.1%Wide
2023$149.54$231.5443%Wide
2024$151.52$270.7356.5%Wide
2025$99.00$180.6158.4%Wide
3-Year Range
92.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
100.0%
Outstanding Shares
62M
Bid-Ask Spread
91.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.