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53

SRAD

💻 Technology

Sportradar Group AG

Conservative #479Aggressive #474Moderate RiskHigh 95
$17.79+0.23%
Day High$18.09
Day Low$17.49
Volume1.5M
Mkt Cap$5.3B
52W Low $1652W High $32
Market Cap
$4.9B
P/E Ratio
48.4
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
26.1%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-3.5%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

SRAD scores 53.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (95/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 48.4x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (11.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. SRAD's rank of #479 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score53.1
Fundamental Score46.6
ML Score59.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.1
6 Month
69.5
Primary
1 Year
73.1

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
49.1
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+2.0
Final
53.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality55
Growth75
Stability90
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)33.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.8% to +3.3%
Medium-term
-0.7% to +5.7%
Long-term
-0.5% to +8.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 59

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.4/100
Target Upside+84.9%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+23.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.51)
Relative Strength vs Sector-27.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.1)
Momentum Quality-0.127
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P84
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P23
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P94
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 80 relative to sector peers80/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (79.8) + 9% ML (72.3) + SHAP(+1.8) = 81.0
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 11.1%. Max drawdown 47% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -24% (-3.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.9B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.0pt (conviction=95)
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #112 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SRAD53.148.426.1%3.1%$4.9B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy16 analysts
Buy: 15Hold: 1
Price Target
$32consensus
Low $26Median $33High $37
+79.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in the United Kingdom, the United States, Malta, Switzerland, and internationally. Its sports data services to the bookmaking under the Betradar brand name, and to the international media industry under the Sportradar Media Services brand name. The company offers mission-critical software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. In addition, the company provides sports entertainment, gaming solution, and sports solutions, as well as live streaming solution for online, mobile, and retail sports betting. Further, its software solutions address the entire sports betting value chain from traffic generation and advertising technology to the collection, processing, and extrapolation of data and odds, as well as to visualization solutions, risk management, and platform services. Sportradar Group AG was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in St. Gallen, Switzerland.

CEO
Carsten Koerl
Employees
4,582
Beta
2.01
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
51.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-44.8%
High: $32.22
From 52W Low
+13.1%
Low: $15.73
Moving Averages
10-Day
$17.20
Above
20-Day
$17.50
Above
50-Day
$19.80
Below
200-Day
$24.90
Below
60-Day Support
$15.73
60-Day Resistance
$24.17
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 16/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-28.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.02%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.9x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
76
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$292M$318M$311M$307M
Gross Profit$187M$176M$170M$168M
Operating Income$47M$28M$23M$36M
Net Income$22M$49M$24M$-1M
EPS (Diluted)$0.07$0.15$0.08$-0.00
Gross Margin63.9%55.3%54.6%54.8%
Operating Margin16.2%8.8%7.4%11.7%
Net Margin7.7%15.5%7.8%-0.4%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 26.1%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: -11.0pt

Volume
100
2.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
93
$39M/day
Float
100
254M shares
Mkt Cap
68
$4.9B
Range
100
105% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$7.10$19.4893.2%Wide
2023$8.08$15.5763.3%Wide
2024$9.17$18.0565.2%Wide
2025$17.10$32.2261.3%Wide
3-Year Range
119.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
84.5%
Outstanding Shares
300M
Bid-Ask Spread
105.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.