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72

AAPL

💻 Technology

Apple Inc.

Conservative #60Aggressive #226Low RiskLow 23ML↑ 39pt
$274.23+0.77%
Day High$274.94
Day Low$271.05
Volume33.2M
Mkt Cap$4.0T
52W Low $16952W High $289
Market Cap
$3.9T
P/E Ratio
33.1
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
6.4%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
19.5%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
1.03

Why This Score

AAPL scores 72.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 159.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 27.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Low volatility (6.0% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Large-cap ($3889B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.03) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. AAPL's rank of #60 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score72.5
Fundamental Score67.2
ML Score74.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
84.3
6 Month
94.2
Primary
1 Year
99.1

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
72.8
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-4.3
Final
72.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)71.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+9.0% to +15.0%
Medium-term
+13.5% to +22.5%
Long-term
+21.7% to +34.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 74

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.5/100
Target Upside+12.7%
Coverage109 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.7/100
News Volume10 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.60)
Relative Strength vs Sector+2.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.1)
Momentum Quality+0.057
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P38
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P36
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P42
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 98th percentileP98
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (59.2) + 9% ML (97.8) + SHAP(+4.4) = 67.1—
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.0%. Stability bonus of +10.1 points. Max drawdown 10% (-0.6 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($3888.8B market cap)+5.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.6pt (conviction=23)—
Divergence penalty: -4.3pt (ML 39pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #13 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
TER72.290.95.4%19.2%$50.1B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV+, which offers exclusive original content; Apple Card, a co-branded credit card; and Apple Pay, a cashless payment service, as well as licenses its intellectual property. The company serves consumers, and small and mid-sized businesses; and the education, enterprise, and government markets. It distributes third-party applications for its products through the App Store. The company also sells its products through its retail and online stores, and direct sales force; and third-party cellular network carriers, wholesalers, retailers, and resellers. Apple Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

CEO
Timothy D. Cook
Employees
164,000
Beta
1.11
Industry
Consumer Electronics
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5%
High: $288.62
From 52W Low
+62.1%
Low: $169.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$265.90
Above
20-Day
$267.60
Above
50-Day
$265.70
Above
200-Day
$242.30
Above
60-Day Support
$243.42
60-Day Resistance
$288.62
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+13.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.74%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.95x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$143.8B$102.5B$94.0B$95.4B
Gross Profit$69.2B$48.3B$43.7B$44.9B
Operating Income$50.9B$32.4B$28.2B$29.6B
Net Income$42.1B$27.5B$23.4B$24.8B
EPS (Diluted)$2.84$1.85$1.57$1.65
Gross Margin48.2%47.2%46.5%47.1%
Operating Margin35.4%31.6%30.0%31.0%
Net Margin29.3%26.8%24.9%26.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 27.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 100/100Score impact: +4.6pt

Volume
100
48.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$13.0B/day
Float
100
14.7B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$3.9T
Range
95
71% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$116.21$182.1344.2%Wide
2022$125.87$182.9437%Wide
2023$124.17$199.6246.6%Wide
2024$164.08$260.1045.3%Wide
2025$169.21$288.6252.2%Wide
3-Year Range
79.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.8%
Outstanding Shares
14.7B
Bid-Ask Spread
71.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.