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75

FSLR

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

First Solar, Inc.

Conservative #39Aggressive #18Low RiskHigh 100
$210.12-13.61%
Day High$215.09
Day Low$196.45
Volume9.8M
Mkt Cap$22.5B
52W Low $11752W High $286
Market Cap
$24.2B
P/E Ratio
17.3
Sector avg: 87.4
Rev Growth
26.7%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
55.5%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Sector avg: -109.6%
Debt/Equity
0.09

Why This Score

FSLR scores 75.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 30.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.09) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (94/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (10.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-1.7 points) applied. FSLR's rank of #39 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score75.0
Fundamental Score67.4
ML Score94.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.1
6 Month
79.5
Primary
1 Year
83.7

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
72.7
SHAP
+1.5
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.8
Divergence
-1.7
Final
75.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

77AVG
Value70
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)82.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.4% to +9.4%
Medium-term
+7.5% to +15.2%
Long-term
+11.1% to +21.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 94

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.7/100
Target Upside+16.3%
Coverage71 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.7%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+50.1%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.24)
Relative Strength vs Sector+62.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.543
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P85
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P60
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P87
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 88 relative to sector peers88/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 84th percentileP84
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (87.5) + 9% ML (84.3) + SHAP(+3.0) = 90.2โ€”
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 10.9%. Max drawdown 17% (-3.7 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($24.2B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)โ€”
Sector diversity: -12.0pt (Technology over-represented)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #10 of 290 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
TER72.290.95.4%19.2%$50.1B
Sector Average47.487.414.8%-109.6%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy71 analysts
Buy: 46Hold: 18Sell: 7
Price Target
$272consensus
Low $150Median $275High $330
+29.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

First Solar, Inc. provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United State, Japan, France, Canada, India, Australia, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that converts sunlight into electricity. It serves developers and operators of systems, utilities, independent power producers, commercial and industrial companies, and other system owners. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

CEO
Mark R. Widmar
Employees
8,100
Beta
1.63
Industry
Solar
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.5%
High: $285.99
From 52W Low
+80.3%
Low: $116.56
Moving Averages
10-Day
$230.90
Below
20-Day
$230.90
Below
50-Day
$245.00
Below
200-Day
$214.40
Below
60-Day Support
$196.45
60-Day Resistance
$285.99
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 24/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+18.68%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.23x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 50%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.7B$1.6B$1.1B$845M
Gross Profit$675M$611M$500M$344M
Operating Income$483M$466M$362M$221M
Net Income$525M$456M$342M$210M
EPS (Diluted)$4.84$4.24$3.18$1.95
Gross Margin40.6%38.3%45.6%40.8%
Operating Margin29.0%29.2%33.0%26.2%
Net Margin31.5%28.6%31.2%24.8%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 17.3Revenue growth 26.7%Profit margin 30.7%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: -12.5pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$534M/day
Float
100
101M shares
Mkt Cap
88
$24.2B
Range
100
145% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$67.71$123.1358.1%Wide
2022$59.60$173.6897.8%Wide
2023$129.22$232.0056.9%Wide
2024$135.88$306.7777.2%Wide
2025$116.56$285.9984.2%Wide
3-Year Range
89.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
94.5%
Outstanding Shares
107M
Bid-Ask Spread
145.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.