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IMSR

⚡ Energy

Terrestrial Energy Inc.

Conservative #1461Aggressive #1470High RiskLow 4F↑ 48pt
$7.11+8.22%
Day High$7.44
Day Low$6.59
Volume2.3M
Mkt Cap$581M
52W Low $652W High $32
Market Cap
$518M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
1234.2%
Sector avg: 46.1%
Earnings Growth
17.4%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: 0.4%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

IMSR scores 0.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (25.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -36.9 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, IMSR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score0.0
Fundamental Score29.6
ML Score5.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
2.6
6 Month
3.0
Primary
1 Year
3.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.1%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low float, small cap
Base
5.8
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.8
Conviction
-4.4
Divergence
-1.4
Final
0.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)63.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)26.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-28.9% to -19.2%
Medium-term
-40.5% to -26.5%
Long-term
-50.8% to -32.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 5

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+120.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+9.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.77)
Relative Strength vs Sector-46.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality-0.110
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P100
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P60
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P36
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
+3.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 16th percentileP16
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (64.4) + 9% ML (15.4) + SHAP(+0.9) = 60.9
Factor quality: -0.8pt (multi-factor composite)
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.4pt (conviction=4)
Divergence penalty: -5.8pt (fund 48pt higher)
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 25.7%. Max drawdown 64% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -31% (-5.1 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (30.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #24 of 24 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IMSR0.0N/A1234.2%0.0%$518M
VNOM71.918.24.0%41.8%$14.4B
FANG67.911.932.2%30.3%$48.5B
TRMD63.89.72.6%21.4%$2.8B
WFRD61.217.1-10.8%8.8%$7.3B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.8B
BKR57.423.5-0.3%9.3%$60.5B
CLMT50.6N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.4B
SHLS49.954.1-18.4%7.7%$1.8B
APA47.36.717.6%8.3%$10.0B
ENPH45.035.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.733.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
GLNG41.779.9-12.8%18.0%$4.7B
PTEN41.5N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
APC40.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
PNRG35.412.390.0%12.9%$310M
Sector Average41.129.946.1%0.4%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Price Target
$14consensus
Low $12Median $14High $15
+89.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

A developer of advanced nuclear power solutions, specifically small modular molten salt reactors (their “IMSR” technology)–designed to provide low-carbon, high-temperature industrial heat and electricity. It recently completed a business combination with HCM II Acquisition Corp.

CEO
Simon Irish
Beta
1.25
Industry
Regulated Electric
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-73.8%
High: $27.16
From 52W Low
+19.5%
Low: $5.95
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.80
Above
20-Day
$7.70
Below
50-Day
$8.40
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$5.95
60-Day Resistance
$13.53

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-2M$-5M$-5M$-303,640
Net Income$2M$-6M$-6M$2M
EPS (Diluted)$0.07$-0.07$-0.06$0.08
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

EnergyRevenue growth 1234.2%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -23.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
3.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$18M/day
Float
0
1M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$518M
Range
0
429% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low floatsmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
1.4%
Outstanding Shares
82M
Bid-Ask Spread
429.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.