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GLNG

⚡ Energy

Golar LNG Limited

Conservative #807Aggressive #1089Low RiskLow 3ML↑ 34pt
$43.10-3.94%
Day High$44.00
Day Low$41.67
Volume3.3M
Mkt Cap$4.4B
52W Low $3052W High $46
Market Cap
$4.7B
P/E Ratio
79.9
Sector avg: 29.9
Rev Growth
-12.8%
Sector avg: 44.1%
Earnings Growth
208.6%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Sector avg: 0.1%
Debt/Equity
1.01

Why This Score

GLNG scores 41.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (16%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Commodity beta: Oil & Gas E&P stocks carry a 5-point penalty for commodity price sensitivity.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 79.9x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.01) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-8.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.7
Fundamental Score54.2
ML Score15.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.0
6 Month
79.4
Primary
1 Year
83.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-752.8%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
41.3
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-3.6
Final
41.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)45.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)75.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.0% to +4.4%
Medium-term
+0.5% to +7.1%
Long-term
+1.0% to +9.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 15

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.1/100
Target Upside+16.6%
Coverage48 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+16.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.02)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.138
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P32
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P16
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 84th percentileP84
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (50.6) + 9% ML (84.1) + SHAP(+3.7) = 57.3
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.3%. Stability bonus of +9.4 points. Max drawdown 15% (-2.9 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.7B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.5pt (conviction=3)
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 34pt higher)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -29 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (209%) far exceeds revenue growth (-12.8%) — margin expansion may not be sustainable; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (-752.8%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #12 of 25 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GLNG41.779.9-12.8%18.0%$4.7B
VNOM71.918.24.0%41.8%$14.4B
FANG67.911.932.2%30.3%$48.5B
TRMD63.89.72.6%21.4%$2.8B
WFRD61.217.1-10.8%8.8%$7.3B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.8B
BKR57.423.5-0.3%9.3%$60.5B
CLMT50.6N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.4B
SHLS49.954.1-18.4%7.7%$1.8B
APA47.36.717.6%8.3%$10.0B
ENPH45.035.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.733.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
PTEN41.5N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
APC40.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
PNRG35.412.390.0%12.9%$310M
HPK32.712.4-3.8%6.0%$666M
Sector Average39.629.944.1%0.1%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy48 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 29Hold: 14Sell: 4
Price Target
$53consensus
Low $50Median $53High $56
+23.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Golar LNG Limited designs, builds, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction and regasification of LNG. It operates through Shipping and FLNG segments. The company engages in the operation and chartering of LNG carriers, Floating Liquefaction Natural Gas Vessel (FLNG), and floating storage regasification units (FSRUs), as well as operates external vessels. As of December 31, 2021, it operated nine LNG carriers, one FSRU, and three FLNGs. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

CEO
Karl Fredrik Staubo
Employees
474
Beta
0.18
Industry
Oil & Gas Midstream
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.8%
High: $46.23
From 52W Low
+45.8%
Low: $29.56
Moving Averages
10-Day
$44.50
Below
20-Day
$43.00
Above
50-Day
$40.20
Above
200-Day
$40.20
Above
60-Day Support
$36.51
60-Day Resistance
$46.23
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 52/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
+7.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.73%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.19x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
21
Confidence: 50%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$123M$76M$63M$66M
Gross Profit$63M$31M$21M$24M
Operating Income$48M$19M$8M$12M
Net Income$31M$16M$8M$3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.31$0.15$0.08$0.03
Gross Margin51.6%41.2%34.2%36.3%
Operating Margin39.1%25.1%13.6%17.5%
Net Margin25.7%20.7%13.1%5.1%

Why This Stock

EnergyProfit margin 18.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: -5.4pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$52M/day
Float
95
87M shares
Mkt Cap
67
$4.7B
Range
88
56% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.26$14.3643.2%Wide
2022$12.14$30.6686.5%Wide
2023$19.62$25.0624.4%Narrow
2024$19.94$44.0875.4%Wide
2025$29.56$45.9843.5%Wide
3-Year Range
80.4%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
85.3%
Outstanding Shares
102M
Bid-Ask Spread
56.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.