Back to Dashboard
31

ARRY

⚡ Energy

Array Technologies, Inc.

Conservative #1091Aggressive #1114Moderate RiskModerate 72
$11.00+2.52%
Day High$11.51
Day Low$10.65
Volume6.9M
Mkt Cap$1.7B
52W Low $452W High $12
Market Cap
$1.7B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-41.9%
Sector avg: 46.1%
Earnings Growth
-275.2%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Sector avg: 0.4%
Debt/Equity
1.68

Why This Score

ARRY scores 30.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (72/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (17.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.68) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-3.0 points) applied. ARRY's rank of #1091 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.8
Fundamental Score33.3
ML Score29.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
51.6
6 Month
57.7
Primary
1 Year
60.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (446.6%) — earnings quality concern
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
63
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
29.5
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
+0.7
Final
30.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)25.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)69.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.5% to +1.9%
Medium-term
-6.1% to +3.3%
Long-term
-7.7% to +4.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 29

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.5/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage26 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.9/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+87.5%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.21)
Relative Strength vs Sector+95.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.928
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P12
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P60
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P52
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (46.7) + 9% ML (59.0) + SHAP(+0.6) = 48.4
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.9%. Max drawdown 17% (-3.5 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -1.6pt (111% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.7B market cap)-8.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (446.6%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.7x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #18 of 24 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ARRY30.8N/A-41.9%-2.5%$1.7B
VNOM71.918.24.0%41.8%$14.4B
FANG67.911.932.2%30.3%$48.5B
TRMD63.89.72.6%21.4%$2.8B
WFRD61.217.1-10.8%8.8%$7.3B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.8B
BKR57.423.5-0.3%9.3%$60.5B
CLMT50.6N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.4B
SHLS49.954.1-18.4%7.7%$1.8B
APA47.36.717.6%8.3%$10.0B
ENPH45.035.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.733.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
GLNG41.779.9-12.8%18.0%$4.7B
PTEN41.5N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
APC40.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
PNRG35.412.390.0%12.9%$310M
Sector Average41.129.946.1%0.4%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy26 analysts
Buy: 15Hold: 10Sell: 1
Price Target
$11consensus
Low $9Median $10High $15
-3.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Array Technologies, Inc. manufactures and supplies solar tracking systems and related products in the United States and internationally. Its products include DuraTrack HZ v3, a single-axis solar tracking system; and SmarTrack, a machine learning software that is used to identify the optimal position for a solar array in real time to increase energy production. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

CEO
Kevin G. Hostetler
Employees
1,021
Beta
1.70
Industry
Solar
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.1%
High: $12.23
From 52W Low
+192.6%
Low: $3.76
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.10
Below
20-Day
$11.30
Below
50-Day
$10.30
Above
200-Day
$8.40
Above
60-Day Support
$7.13
60-Day Resistance
$12.23
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+31%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+19.33%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
64
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$226M$393M$362M$302M
Gross Profit$26M$99M$97M$76M
Operating Income$-149M$46M$46M$27M
Net Income$-146M$34M$43M$17M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.06$0.12$0.19$0.02
Gross Margin11.6%25.1%26.8%25.3%
Operating Margin-66.0%11.8%12.8%9.0%
Net Margin-64.5%8.5%11.9%5.5%

Why This Stock

Energy

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: -24.3pt

Volume
100
5.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$60M/day
Float
100
139M shares
Mkt Cap
53
$1.7B
Range
100
225% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
91.1%
Outstanding Shares
153M
Bid-Ask Spread
225.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.