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35

PNRG

⚡ Energy

PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation

Conservative #982Aggressive #543Moderate RiskModerate 67F↑ 21pt
$183.90+0.10%
Day High$188.70
Day Low$180.22
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$303M
52W Low $12652W High $238
Market Cap
$310M
P/E Ratio
12.3
Sector avg: 29.9
Rev Growth
90.0%
Sector avg: 44.1%
Earnings Growth
97.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Sector avg: 0.1%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

PNRG scores 35.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 12.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Commodity beta: Oil & Gas E&P stocks carry a 5-point penalty for commodity price sensitivity.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (18.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -20.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, PNRG would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score35.4
Fundamental Score49.7
ML Score58.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.4
6 Month
67.5
Primary
1 Year
71.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-330.3%) — earnings quality concern
Commodity beta: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentals

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
34
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
31
Grade Dlow volume, small cap
Base
33.0
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-1.6
Final
35.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)76.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)59.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.2% to +2.9%
Medium-term
-1.3% to +5.0%
Long-term
-1.4% to +7.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 58

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score34.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-25.9%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.90)
Relative Strength vs Sector-28.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.073
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P96
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P44
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P64
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 91 relative to sector peers91/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (91.4) + 9% ML (70.1) + SHAP(+3.0) = 92.5
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 18.0%. Max drawdown 41% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -12% (-1.4 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.3B market cap)-20.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.6pt (fund 21pt higher)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-330.3%) — earnings quality concern; Commodity beta: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #15 of 25 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PNRG35.412.390.0%12.9%$310M
VNOM71.918.24.0%41.8%$14.4B
FANG67.911.932.2%30.3%$48.5B
TRMD63.89.72.6%21.4%$2.8B
WFRD61.217.1-10.8%8.8%$7.3B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.8B
BKR57.423.5-0.3%9.3%$60.5B
CLMT50.6N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.4B
SHLS49.954.1-18.4%7.7%$1.8B
APA47.36.717.6%8.3%$10.0B
ENPH45.035.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.733.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
GLNG41.779.9-12.8%18.0%$4.7B
PTEN41.5N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
APC40.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
HPK32.712.4-3.8%6.0%$666M
Sector Average39.629.944.1%0.1%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for PNRG.

Company Overviewvia FMP

PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, through its subsidiaries, engages in acquiring, developing, and producing oil and natural gas properties in the United States. It also acquires producing oil and gas properties through joint ventures with industry partners; and provides contract services to third parties, including well-servicing support operations, site-preparation, and construction services for oil and gas drilling and reworking operations. The company operates approximately 710 active wells and owns non-operating interests in approximately 822 additional wells primarily in Oklahoma and Texas. The company was formerly known as PrimeEnergy Corporation and changed its name to PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation in December 2018. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Charles E. Drimal Jr.
Employees
78
Beta
-0.07
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.8%
High: $238.2
From 52W Low
+45.5%
Low: $126.4
Moving Averages
10-Day
$180.80
Above
20-Day
$183.50
Above
50-Day
$177.20
Above
200-Day
$165.70
Above
60-Day Support
$162.83
60-Day Resistance
$202.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 68/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.55%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.87x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
32
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$45M$42M$49M$60M
Gross Profit$16M$8M$14M$12M
Operating Income$12M$5M$11M$4M
Net Income$11M$3M$9M$2M
EPS (Diluted)$4.38$1.33$3.72$0.91
Gross Margin34.7%18.4%28.7%20.7%
Operating Margin27.9%11.3%22.8%7.4%
Net Margin23.6%7.7%18.5%3.8%

Why This Stock

EnergyP/E ratio of 12.3Revenue growth 90.0%Profit margin 12.9%Valuation below sector median (P/E 12.3)

Tradability FilterGrade D — 31/100Score impact: -22.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
2
55K avg/day
Dollar Vol
60
$10M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
10
$310M
Range
100
88% spread
Composite Liquidity Score31/100
FDCBA
low volumesmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
88.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.