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PTEN

⚡ Energy

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.

Conservative #810Aggressive #422Moderate RiskHigh 92
$8.34+0.24%
Day High$8.42
Day Low$8.08
Volume5.2M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $552W High $9
Market Cap
$3.2B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-10.3%
Sector avg: 44.1%
Earnings Growth
90.3%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Sector avg: 0.1%
Debt/Equity
0.40

Why This Score

PTEN scores 41.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (92/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (14.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.9 points) applied. PTEN's rank of #810 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.5
Fundamental Score34.2
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
61.4
6 Month
68.6
Primary
1 Year
72.2

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (1134.1%) — earnings quality concern
Commodity beta: Oil & Gas Drilling earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentals

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
46
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
38.4
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.7
Divergence
-0.9
Final
41.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)53.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)69.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.1% to +4.3%
Medium-term
+0.3% to +7.0%
Long-term
+0.8% to +9.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score59.4/100
Target Upside+7.6%
Coverage53 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-40.7%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.06)
Relative Strength vs Sector-13.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.2)
Momentum Quality+0.017
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P60
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P76
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 73 relative to sector peers73/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (72.9) + 9% ML (69.6) + SHAP(+2.5) = 75.1
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 14.1%. Max drawdown 35% (-11.0 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.2B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.6pt (conviction=92)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -22 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (1134.1%) — earnings quality concern; Commodity beta: Oil & Gas Drilling earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #13 of 25 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PTEN41.5N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
VNOM71.918.24.0%41.8%$14.4B
FANG67.911.932.2%30.3%$48.5B
TRMD63.89.72.6%21.4%$2.8B
WFRD61.217.1-10.8%8.8%$7.3B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.8B
BKR57.423.5-0.3%9.3%$60.5B
CLMT50.6N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.4B
SHLS49.954.1-18.4%7.7%$1.8B
APA47.36.717.6%8.3%$10.0B
ENPH45.035.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.733.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
GLNG41.779.9-12.8%18.0%$4.7B
APC40.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
PNRG35.412.390.0%12.9%$310M
HPK32.712.4-3.8%6.0%$666M
Sector Average39.629.944.1%0.1%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy53 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 25Hold: 20Sell: 7
Price Target
$9consensus
Low $7Median $9High $11
+7.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides onshore contract drilling services to oil and natural gas operators in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Contract Drilling Services, Pressure Pumping Services, and Directional Drilling Services. The Contract Drilling Services segment markets its contract drilling services primarily in west Texas, Appalachia, Rockies, Oklahoma, South Texas, East Texas, and Colombia. As of December 31, 2021, this segment had a drilling fleet of 192 marketable land-based drilling rigs. The Pressure Pumping Services segment offers pressure pumping services that consist of well stimulation for the completion of new wells and remedial work on existing wells, as well as hydraulic fracturing, cementing, and acid pumping services in Texas and the Appalachian region. The Directional Drilling Services segment provides a suite of directional drilling services, including directional drilling and measurement-while-drilling services; supply and rental of downhole performance motors; and software and services that enhances the accuracy of directional and horizontal wellbores, wellbore quality, and on-bottom rate of penetration. It also services equipment to drilling contractors, as well as provides electrical controls and automation to the energy, marine, and mining industries in North America and other markets; and owns and invests in oil and natural gas assets as a non-operating working interest owner located principally in Texas and New Mexico. Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
William Andrew Hendricks Jr.
Employees
9,200
Beta
0.73
Industry
Oil & Gas Drilling
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
56.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.3%
High: $8.9
From 52W Low
+63.5%
Low: $5.1
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.30
Above
20-Day
$8.10
Above
50-Day
$7.20
Above
200-Day
$6.20
Above
60-Day Support
$5.65
60-Day Resistance
$8.9
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 47/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+34.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-0.93%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.96x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
39
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.2B$1.2B$1.2B$1.3B
Gross Profit$58M$57M$28M$87M
Operating Income$-4M$-28M$-29M$17M
Net Income$-9M$-36M$-49M$1M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.02$-0.10$-0.13$0.00
Gross Margin5.0%4.8%2.3%6.8%
Operating Margin-0.4%-2.4%-2.4%1.3%
Net Margin-0.8%-3.1%-4.0%0.1%

Why This Stock

EnergyValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -27.7pt

Volume
100
9.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$83M/day
Float
100
344M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.2B
Range
97
75% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$6.07$11.2760%Wide
2022$8.44$20.5383.5%Wide
2023$9.70$17.8659.2%Wide
2024$7.15$12.6555.6%Wide
2025$5.10$9.5760.9%Wide
3-Year Range
111.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
90.7%
Outstanding Shares
380M
Bid-Ask Spread
75.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.