Expand Energy Corporation
EXE scores 44.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Net penalties of -10.9 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, EXE would rank considerably higher.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXE | 44.7 | 33.5 | -45.7% | -16.9% | $24.8B |
| VNOM | 71.9 | 18.2 | 4.0% | 41.8% | $14.4B |
| FANG | 67.9 | 11.9 | 32.2% | 30.3% | $48.5B |
| TRMD | 63.8 | 9.7 | 2.6% | 21.4% | $2.8B |
| WFRD | 61.2 | 17.1 | -10.8% | 8.8% | $7.3B |
| CHRD | 60.8 | 34.5 | 34.8% | 16.2% | $5.8B |
| BKR | 57.4 | 23.5 | -0.3% | 9.3% | $60.5B |
| CLMT | 50.6 | N/A | -100.0% | 0.0% | $2.4B |
| SHLS | 49.9 | 54.1 | -18.4% | 7.7% | $1.8B |
| APA | 47.3 | 6.7 | 17.6% | 8.3% | $10.0B |
| ENPH | 45.0 | 35.4 | 10.7% | 11.7% | $6.1B |
| GLNG | 41.7 | 79.9 | -12.8% | 18.0% | $4.7B |
| PTEN | 41.5 | N/A | -10.3% | -1.9% | $3.2B |
| APC | 40.4 | 15.7 | 12.4% | 4.6% | $11.5B |
| PNRG | 35.4 | 12.3 | 90.0% | 12.9% | $310M |
| HPK | 32.7 | 12.4 | -3.8% | 6.0% | $666M |
| Sector Average | 39.6 | 29.9 | 44.1% | 0.1% | — |
Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. It engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs. The company holds interests in natural gas resource plays in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania and the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana. As of December 31, 2023, the company owns a portfolio of onshore U.S. unconventional natural gas assets, including interests in approximately 5,000 natural gas wells. The company was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. Expand Energy Corporation was founded in 1989 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.0B | $3.0B | $3.7B | $2.2B |
| Gross Profit | $1.4B | $2.4B | $1.4B | $775M |
| Operating Income | $557M | $725M | $1.3B | $-268M |
| Net Income | $553M | $547M | $968M | $-249M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.30 | $2.27 | $4.02 | $-1.06 |
| Gross Margin | 46.4% | 79.5% | 38.3% | 35.3% |
| Operating Margin | 18.3% | 24.4% | 34.4% | -12.2% |
| Net Margin | 18.1% | 18.4% | 26.3% | -11.3% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $40.00 | $69.40 | 53.7% | Wide |
| 2022 | $61.45 | $107.31 | 54.3% | Wide |
| 2023 | $69.68 | $93.53 | 29.2% | Moderate |
| 2024 | $69.12 | $101.46 | 37.9% | Wide |
| 2025 | $91.02 | $126.62 | 32.7% | Moderate |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.