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GHRS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

GH Research PLC

Conservative #1079Aggressive #1129Low RiskLow 10Fโ†‘ 45pt
$15.57-1.15%
Day High$15.74
Day Low$15.27
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$966M
52W Low $852W High $20
Market Cap
$963M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-9.5%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

GHRS scores 30.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -13.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, GHRS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.1
Fundamental Score45.2
ML Score11.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
13.1
6 Month
14.6
Primary
1 Year
15.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
88
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
64
Grade B
Base
36.4
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-3.8
Divergence
-2.9
Final
30.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)91.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-13.6% to -7.0%
Medium-term
-18.1% to -8.7%
Long-term
-22.6% to -10.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 11

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+127.9%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score88.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+36.2%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.20)
Relative Strength vs Sector+20.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.5)
Momentum Quality+0.378
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P39
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 75 relative to sector peers75/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 30th percentileP30
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (75.0) + 9% ML (28.1) + SHAP(+0.9) = 71.6โ€”
Factor quality: -0.5pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 13.0%. Max drawdown 16% (-3.3 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($1.0B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -3.8pt (conviction=10)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -5.4pt (fund 45pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #198 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GHRS30.1N/A0.0%0.0%$963M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ASND78.216.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Buy: 7
Price Target
$35consensus
Low $29Median $37High $40
+125.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

GH Research PLC, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing various therapies for the treatment of psychiatric and neurological disorders. The company focuses on developing 5-Methoxy-N,N-Dimethyltryptamine (5-MeO-DMT) therapies for the treatment of patients with treatment-resistant depression (TRD). Its lead program is GH001, an inhalable 5-MeO-DMT product candidate that has completed two Phase 1 clinical trials and Phase 1/2 clinical trial in patients with TRD. The company also develops GH002, an injectable 5-MeO-DMT product candidate; and GH003, an intranasal 5-MeO-DMT product candidate, which are in preclinical development trials with a focus on psychiatric and neurological disorders. GH Research PLC was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Velichka Valcheva
Employees
50
Beta
0.99
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20%
High: $19.51
From 52W Low
+95.6%
Low: $7.98
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.50
Above
20-Day
$15.50
Above
50-Day
$15.00
Above
200-Day
$13.90
Above
60-Day Support
$12.04
60-Day Resistance
$19
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 78/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+12.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+9.77%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.38x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
38
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-89,000$0$0$0
Operating Income$-17M$-15M$-13M$-13M
Net Income$-14M$-9M$-11M$-9M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.23$-0.15$-0.19$-0.17
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 64/100Score impact: -17.5pt

Volume
68
382K avg/day
Dollar Vol
52
$6M/day
Float
75
45M shares
Mkt Cap
39
$963M
Range
100
144% spread
Composite Liquidity Score64/100
FDCBA
Free Float
72.3%
Outstanding Shares
62M
Bid-Ask Spread
144.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.