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39

KURA

🏥 Healthcare

Kura Oncology, Inc.

Conservative #876Aggressive #832Moderate RiskModerate 68
$8.37-2.22%
Day High$8.58
Day Low$8.37
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$728M
52W Low $552W High $12
Market Cap
$736M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-14.0%
Profit Margin
-208.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.08

Why This Score

KURA scores 39.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.08) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (15.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. KURA's rank of #876 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score39.1
Fundamental Score35.8
ML Score42.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
59.9
6 Month
67.0
Primary
1 Year
70.5

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.7B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
73
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
37.0
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.9
Final
39.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)63.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.5% to +6.3%
Medium-term
+3.2% to +10.5%
Long-term
+4.9% to +14.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 42

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.9/100
Target Upside+280.9%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score72.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+2.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.67)
Relative Strength vs Sector-16.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality+0.052
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
22%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P94
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (61.3) + 9% ML (67.6) + SHAP(+1.2) = 63.0
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.1%. Max drawdown 33% (-10.0 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -26 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (-208.5%) exceeds operating margin (-230.5%) by 22pp — likely one-time item; High accrual ratio (140.5%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $0.7B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #138 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KURA39.1N/A0.0%-208.5%$736M
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy16 analysts
Buy: 14Hold: 2
Price Target
$32consensus
Low $20Median $33High $40
+276.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kura Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company's pipeline consists of small molecule product candidates that target cancer. Its lead product candidates are ziftomenib, a small molecule inhibitor of the menin-Lysine K-specific Methyltransferase 2A protein-protein interaction for the treatment of genetically defined subsets of acute leukemias, including acute myeloid leukemia and acute lymphoblastic leukemia; and tipifarnib, an orally bioavailable inhibitor of farnesyl transferase that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of solid tumors and hematologic indications. The company has a clinical collaboration with Novartis to evaluate the combination of tipifarnib and alpelisib in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma whose tumors have HRAS overexpression or PIK3CA mutation and/or amplification. Kura Oncology, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Troy Edward Wilson
Employees
192
Beta
0.24
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
81.5
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-31.8%
High: $12.49
From 52W Low
+57.5%
Low: $5.41
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.40
Above
20-Day
$8.20
Above
50-Day
$9.10
Below
200-Day
$8.30
Above
60-Day Support
$7.36
60-Day Resistance
$12.32
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 72/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+2.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.03%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
9
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$21M$15M$14M$54M
Gross Profit$18M$15M$14M$54M
Operating Income$-80M$-73M$-65M$-22M
Net Income$-74M$-66M$-57M$-19M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.85$-0.75$-0.66$-0.22
Gross Margin84.5%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin-385.5%-475.3%-458.6%-41.7%
Net Margin-357.2%-432.5%-407.1%-35.7%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 80/100Score impact: -26.3pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
65
$13M/day
Float
94
84M shares
Mkt Cap
35
$736M
Range
100
131% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.02$34.7397.2%Wide
2022$10.41$19.9362.8%Wide
2023$7.41$15.0668.1%Wide
2024$8.42$24.1796.7%Wide
2025$5.41$12.4979.1%Wide
3-Year Range
126.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
96.9%
Outstanding Shares
87M
Bid-Ask Spread
131.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.