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49

CAI

🏥 Healthcare

Caris Life Sciences, Inc.

Conservative #602Aggressive #569Low RiskModerate 79
$18.31+0.60%
Day High$18.94
Day Low$18.05
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$5.2B
52W Low $1852W High $43
Market Cap
$5.8B
P/E Ratio
81.0
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
34.7%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
17.4%
Profit Margin
-68.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

CAI scores 48.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -0.17) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (79/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 81.0x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.5
Fundamental Score52.6
ML Score47.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
27.0
6 Month
30.2
Primary
1 Year
31.8

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
46
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
78
Grade Blow float
Base
49.4
SHAP
-0.9
Final
48.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

68AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth90
Stability90
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)62.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)66.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-11.7% to -5.9%
Medium-term
-15.3% to -7.0%
Long-term
-18.8% to -8.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 47

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.8/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.3/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P79
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P7
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 50 relative to sector peers50/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 40th percentileP40
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -0.9pt (features diverge from model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (50.2) + 9% ML (38.7) + SHAP(-0.9) = 48.2
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 20.0%Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($5.8B market cap)+0.5 pts
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #85 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CAI48.581.034.7%-68.4%$5.8B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy4 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 1
Price Target
$31consensus
Low $26Median $30High $38
+71.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Caris Life Sciences, Inc., an artificial intelligence TechBio company, provides molecular profiling services in the United States and internationally. It develops and commercializes solutions to transform healthcare using molecular information, and machine learning algorithms. The company's molecular profiling services portfolio includes MI Profile, a tissue-based molecular profiling solution; and Caris Assure, a blood-based molecular profiling solution for cancer treatment. It also offers pharma research and development services comprising laboratory delivery, strategic data, and research services to biopharmaceutical customers. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

CEO
David Dean Halbert
Employees
1,769
Beta
-1.15
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
27.5
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-56.9%
High: $42.5
From 52W Low
+6.8%
Low: $17.15
Moving Averages
10-Day
$19.90
Below
20-Day
$21.50
Below
50-Day
$24.90
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$17.15
60-Day Resistance
$29.32

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q2 2024
Revenue$217M$181M$121M$100M
Gross Profit$148M$114M$57M$38M
Operating Income$33M$18M$-58M$67M
Net Income$24M$-72M$-103M$-66M
EPS (Diluted)$0.08$-1.87$-0.40$-0.35
Gross Margin68.0%62.7%47.2%37.5%
Operating Margin15.1%9.9%-47.9%67.0%
Net Margin11.2%-39.6%-84.8%-66.2%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 34.7%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 78/100Score impact: -1.4pt

Volume
100
2.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
95
$42M/day
Float
21
11M shares
Mkt Cap
67
$5.8B
Range
100
141% spread
Composite Liquidity Score78/100
FDCBA
low float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
4.0%
Outstanding Shares
282M
Bid-Ask Spread
141.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.