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49

CORT

🏥 Healthcare

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated

Conservative #584Aggressive #425High RiskModerate 66F↑ 17pt
$36.22-0.71%
Day High$38.22
Day Low$33.94
Volume3.0M
Mkt Cap$3.8B
52W Low $2952W High $117
Market Cap
$3.7B
P/E Ratio
34.3
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
39.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
31.6%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

CORT scores 49.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.0% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (33.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. CORT's rank of #584 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.3
Fundamental Score44.7
ML Score50.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
49.3
6 Month
55.1
Primary
1 Year
58.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $3.7B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
28
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
46.8
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-1.0
Final
49.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)21.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)57.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.3% to +0.9%
Medium-term
-4.5% to +1.7%
Long-term
-5.7% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 50

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score27.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector-58.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.0)
Momentum Quality-0.104
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P80
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P14
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 75 relative to sector peers75/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (75.1) + 9% ML (58.0) + SHAP(+2.4) = 75.9—
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)—
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.7B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (fund 17pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 33.3%. Max drawdown 70% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -34% (-5.8 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-54.4%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $3.7B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 8.0% (original: 10.1%). Biotechnology has ~40% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~100%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #79 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CORT49.334.339.9%14.2%$3.7B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy24 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 9Sell: 2
Price Target
$68consensus
Low $30Median $67High $100
+88.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated discovers, develops, and commercializes drugs for the treatment of severe metabolic, oncologic, and neuropsychiatric disorders in the United States. The company offers Korlym (mifepristone) tablets as a once-daily oral medication for the treatment of hyperglycemia secondary to hypercortisolism in adult patients with endogenous Cushing's syndrome, who have type 2 diabetes mellitus or glucose intolerance, and have failed surgery or are not candidates for surgery. It is developing relacorilant to treat patients with Cushing's syndrome; and nab-paclitaxel in combination with relacorilant, which has completed Phase II clinical trial to treat patients with advanced ovarian tumors, as well as for the treatment of cortisol excess. The company is also developing selective cortisol modulator to treat patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; selective cortisol modulator for the treatment of antipsychotic-induced weight gain and other disorders; and FKBP5 gene expression assays. Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

CEO
Joseph K. Belanoff
Employees
500
Beta
0.26
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
39.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-69.1%
High: $117.33
From 52W Low
+26.4%
Low: $28.66
Moving Averages
10-Day
$37.60
Below
20-Day
$39.50
Below
50-Day
$49.20
Below
200-Day
$68.30
Below
60-Day Support
$28.66
60-Day Resistance
$89
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 14/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-47%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.79%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
39
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$202M$208M$194M$157M
Gross Profit$200M$203M$191M$155M
Operating Income$4M$10M$27M$3M
Net Income$24M$19M$35M$20M
EPS (Diluted)$0.20$0.16$0.29$0.17
Gross Margin98.7%97.8%98.2%98.5%
Operating Margin2.2%4.9%13.7%2.2%
Net Margin12.0%9.3%18.1%12.9%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 39.9%Profit margin 14.2%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -2.9pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$77M/day
Float
95
87M shares
Mkt Cap
64
$3.7B
Range
100
309% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
82.8%
Outstanding Shares
105M
Bid-Ask Spread
309.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.