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41

BLTE

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Belite Bio, Inc

Conservative #835Aggressive #408Low RiskLow 10Fโ†‘ 45pt
$186.60-0.77%
Day High$187.88
Day Low$185.36
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$6.5B
52W Low $4952W High $200
Market Cap
$6.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-14.3%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

BLTE scores 40.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (92/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (206%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (14.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -21.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BLTE would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.5
Fundamental Score47.6
ML Score92.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
9.3
6 Month
10.4
Primary
1 Year
10.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
69
Grade Blow float
Base
47.4
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
-0.3
Conviction
-3.8
Divergence
-4.4
Final
40.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.2% to -7.1%
Medium-term
-19.0% to -8.9%
Long-term
-23.8% to -10.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 92

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+4.6%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+2.1%
6M Momentum+1.8%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+28.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.86)
Relative Strength vs Sector+182.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.798
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 71 relative to sector peers71/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 26th percentileP26
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (70.7) + 9% ML (24.4) + SHAP(+1.6) = 68.2โ€”
Factor quality: -0.3pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 14.7%. Max drawdown 13% (-1.9 pts)Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -6.0pt (206% 12m momentum)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($6.3B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -3.8pt (conviction=10)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -5.3pt (fund 45pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #131 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BLTE40.5N/A0.0%0.0%$6.3B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB85.613.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX82.113.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
ASND75.816.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
NBIX74.826.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
AMGN73.926.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.535.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.419.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ISRG72.261.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
EXEL71.615.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ALKS71.516.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
HALO70.316.822.4%43.7%$8.2B
Sector Average37.041.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 5
Price Target
$197consensus
Low $185Median $191High $223
+5.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Belite Bio, Inc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical drug development company, engages in the research and development of novel therapeutics targeting atrophic age-related macular degeneration and autosomal recessive stargardt diseases. Its lead product candidate is LBS-008, an oral once-a-day treatment that can reduce and maintain the delivery of vitamin A to the eye to reduce the accumulation of toxic vitamin A by-products in ocular tissue that is in phase 3 clinical trial. The company is also developing LBS-009, an anti-retinol binding protein 4 oral therapy targeting liver disease, including non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and type 2 diabetes, which is in the preclinical development phase. Belite Bio, Inc was founded in 2016 and is based in San Diego, California. Belite Bio, Inc operates as a subsidiary of Lin Bioscience International Ltd.

CEO
Yu-Hsin Lin
Employees
25
Beta
-1.46
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
58.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.7%
High: $200
From 52W Low
+280.9%
Low: $49
Moving Averages
10-Day
$181.00
Above
20-Day
$179.60
Above
50-Day
$166.60
Above
200-Day
$101.80
Above
60-Day Support
$130.06
60-Day Resistance
$200
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+83.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+43.33%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.6x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-23M$-18M$-16M$-11M
Net Income$-22M$-16M$-14M$-10M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.65$-0.50$-0.44$-0.32
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 69/100Score impact: -30.8pt

Volume
55
255K avg/day
Dollar Vol
99
$48M/day
Float
36
16M shares
Mkt Cap
72
$6.3B
Range
100
308% spread
Composite Liquidity Score69/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$8.80$44.70134.2%Wide
2023$11.00$46.70123.7%Wide
2024$31.01$86.5394.5%Wide
2025$49.00$169.75110.4%Wide
3-Year Range
175.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
45.1%
Outstanding Shares
35M
Bid-Ask Spread
308.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.