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45

PRAX

🏥 Healthcare

Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc.

Aggressive #691High RiskLow 23F↑ 39pt
$347.55+1.41%
Day High$354.43
Day Low$341.00
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$7.3B
52W Low $2752W High $354
Market Cap
$7.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-100.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-65.9%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

PRAX scores 46.2 on the Aggressive profile, blending a fundamental score (55% weight, emphasizing growth and momentum (91% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (45% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Strong momentum (722%) — the market is rewarding this name.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (722%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Net penalties of -18.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, PRAX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.2
Fundamental Score38.7
ML Score90.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.4
6 Month
1.6
Primary
1 Year
1.6

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5.3%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
83
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
84
Grade A
Base
54.8
SHAP
-0.4
Factors
-1.2
Conviction
-1.5
Divergence
-5.4
Final
46.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)74.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-36.6% to -24.6%
Medium-term
-50.5% to -34.5%
Long-term
-65.1% to -41.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 90

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.2/100
Target Upside+49.7%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score83.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+7.2%
6M Momentum+6.0%
Volatility+0.8%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+125.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.83)
Relative Strength vs Sector+696.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+6.063
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
16%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P3
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P39
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P42
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 9th percentileP9
ML model weight reduced to 26% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected26% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -0.4pt (features diverge from model priorities)—
Blend: 74% fund (47.3) + 26% ML (8.3) + SHAP(-0.4) = 36.7—
Factor quality: -1.2pt (multi-factor composite)—
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.0pt (722% 12m momentum)—
Conviction penalty: -1.5pt (conviction=23)—
Divergence penalty: -2.0pt (fund 39pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: very_high. Extreme vol 75.4% → -10.0pt; Strong momentum 722% → +12.0ptVery_high

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #101 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PRAX46.2N/A-100.0%0.0%$7.1B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy16 analysts
Buy: 12Hold: 3Sell: 1
Price Target
$510consensus
Low $83Median $450High $843
+46.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies for central nervous system disorders characterized by neuronal imbalance. Its lead product candidates include PRAX-114, an extrasynaptic-preferring GABAA receptor positive allosteric modulator that is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of major depressive disorder and perimenopausal depression; and PRAX-944, a selective small molecule inhibitor of T-type calcium channels, which is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of essential tremor. The company is also developing PRAX-562, a persistent sodium current blocker that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat severe pediatric epilepsy and adult cephalgia; PRAX-222, an antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) for patients with gain-of-function (GOF) SCN2A epilepsy; and KCNT1 program for the treatment of KCNT1 GOF epilepsy. It has a cooperation and license agreement with RogCon Inc.; a license agreement with Purdue Neuroscience Company; a research collaboration, option, and license agreement with Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; and collaboration with The Florey Institute to develop three novel ASOs. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Boston, Massachusetts.

CEO
Marcio Silva De'Souza
Employees
116
Beta
2.90
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
79.2
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2.4%
High: $356
From 52W Low
+1201.7%
Low: $26.7
Moving Averages
10-Day
$333.00
Above
20-Day
$322.80
Above
50-Day
$302.50
Above
200-Day
$139.80
Above
60-Day Support
$171.2
60-Day Resistance
$356
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+148.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+111.96%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.77x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-28,000$-66M$-63M$-61M
Operating Income$-97M$-78M$-76M$-75M
Net Income$-89M$-74M$-71M$-69M
EPS (Diluted)$-3.50$-3.36$-3.31$-3.29
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 84/100Score impact: -25.2pt

Volume
90
753K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$258M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
73
$7.1B
Range
100
1208% spread
Composite Liquidity Score84/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$190.65$788.55122.1%Wide
2022$22.20$309.00173.2%Wide
2023$11.85$78.75147.7%Wide
2024$20.50$86.93123.7%Wide
2025$26.70$317.72169%Wide
3-Year Range
185.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
109.4%
Outstanding Shares
21M
Bid-Ask Spread
1208.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.