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25

VKTX

🏥 Healthcare

Viking Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1211Aggressive #1319Moderate RiskLow 21F↑ 40pt
$33.12-1.87%
Day High$34.38
Day Low$33.08
Volume1.7M
Mkt Cap$3.8B
52W Low $1952W High $43
Market Cap
$3.6B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-227.1%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

VKTX scores 25.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (17.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-9.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.9
Fundamental Score35.9
ML Score12.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
8.2
6 Month
9.2
Primary
1 Year
9.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $3.6B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
31.1
SHAP
-0.4
Factors
-0.7
Conviction
-2.8
Divergence
-1.3
Final
25.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)65.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.5% to -7.7%
Medium-term
-19.5% to -9.7%
Long-term
-24.5% to -11.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 12

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+202.6%
Coverage23 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.8%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.06)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.003
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P27
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 25th percentileP25
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -0.4pt (features diverge from model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (64.3) + 9% ML (23.4) + SHAP(-0.4) = 60.3
Factor quality: -0.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.9%. Max drawdown 24% (-6.3 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.6B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.8pt (conviction=21)
Divergence penalty: -4.5pt (fund 40pt higher)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (22.5%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $3.6B biotech/pharma — limited product diversificationFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #256 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
VKTX25.9N/A0.0%0.0%$3.6B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy23 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 21Hold: 1
Price Target
$104consensus
Low $99Median $105High $107
+213.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Viking Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of novel therapies for metabolic and endocrine disorders. The company's lead drug candidate is VK2809, an orally available tissue and receptor-subtype selective agonist of the thyroid hormone receptor beta (TRß), which is in Phase IIb clinical trials to treat patients with biopsy-confirmed non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, as well as NAFLD. It also develops VK5211, an orally available non-steroidal selective androgen receptor modulator that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of patients recovering from non-elective hip fracture surgery; VK0612, an orally available Phase IIb-ready drug candidate for type 2 diabetes; and VK0214, an orally available tissue and receptor-subtype selective agonist of the TRß for X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Brian Lian
Employees
45
Beta
0.77
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.9
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-23.2%
High: $43.15
From 52W Low
+75.1%
Low: $18.92
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.20
Above
20-Day
$30.20
Above
50-Day
$32.50
Above
200-Day
$31.40
Above
60-Day Support
$25.77
60-Day Resistance
$39.99
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 73/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+5.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.14%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.12x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-94,000$-114,000$0$0
Operating Income$-165M$-99M$-75M$-55M
Net Income$-158M$-91M$-66M$-46M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.38$-0.81$-0.58$-0.41
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: -17.0pt

Volume
100
3.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$106M/day
Float
100
112M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$3.6B
Range
100
128% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$4.41$7.2548.7%Wide
2022$2.02$9.62130.6%Wide
2023$7.97$25.72105.4%Wide
2024$17.23$99.41140.9%Wide
2025$18.92$43.5578.9%Wide
3-Year Range
170.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
97.0%
Outstanding Shares
116M
Bid-Ask Spread
128.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.