Back to Dashboard
43

VTRS

🏥 Healthcare

Viatris Inc.

Conservative #745Aggressive #1165Low RiskHigh 93
$16.08+0.09%
Day High$16.47
Day Low$15.96
Volume8.7M
Mkt Cap$18.5B
52W Low $752W High $16
Market Cap
$18.2B
P/E Ratio
6.3
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
-4.5%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-1259.4%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.77

Why This Score

VTRS scores 43.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 6.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (93/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-3.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score43.7
Fundamental Score51.6
ML Score11.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.3
6 Month
69.6
Primary
1 Year
73.3

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
43.6
SHAP
+2.1
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.3
Divergence
-3.8
Final
43.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

62AVG
Value95
Quality40
Growth35
Stability60
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)34.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)94.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)51.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.3% to +4.0%
Medium-term
+0.2% to +6.7%
Long-term
+0.7% to +9.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 11

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside-4.3%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.8%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+26.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.67)
Relative Strength vs Sector+55.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.755
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
31%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P37
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P97
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 69 relative to sector peers69/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 73th percentileP73
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (68.8) + 9% ML (72.6) + SHAP(+4.4) = 73.5
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.0%Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($18.2B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.8pt (conviction=93)
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #113 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
VTRS43.76.3-4.5%-4.3%$18.2B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold12 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 8Sell: 2
Price Target
$15consensus
Low $12Median $16High $18
-5.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Viatris Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Developed Markets, Greater China, JANZ, and Emerging Markets. It offers prescription brand drugs, generic drugs, complex generic drugs, biosimilars, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company offers drugs in various therapeutic areas, including noncommunicable and infectious diseases; biosimilars in the areas of oncology, immunology, endocrinology, ophthalmology, and dermatology; and APIs for antibacterial, central nervous system agents, antihistamines/antiasthmatics, cardiovascular, antivirals, antidiabetics, antifungals, and proton pump inhibitor areas, as well as support services, such as diagnostic clinics, educational seminars, and digital tools to help patients better manage their health. It provides its medicines in the form of oral solid doses, injectables, complex dosage forms, and APIs to retail and pharmacy establishments, wholesalers and distributors, payers, insurers and governments, and institutions. The company distributes its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers/distributors, pharmaceutical retailers, institutional pharmacies, mail-order and e-commerce pharmacies, and specialty pharmacies. It sells its products under the Lyrica, Lipitor, Creon, Influvac, Wixela Inhub, EpiPen auto-injector, Fraxiparine, and Yupelri; Norvasc and Viagra; AMITIZA, Lipacreon, and Effexor; and Celebrex and ARV names, as well as offers biosimilars franchises, including Fulphila, Ogivri, Hulio, and SEMGLEE. The company has collaboration and licensing agreements with Revance Therapeutics, Inc.; Momenta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Theravance Biopharma, Inc.; Biocon Ltd.; and Fujifilm Kyowa Kirin Biologics Co. Ltd. Viatris Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Scott Andrew Smith
Employees
32,000
Beta
0.80
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
80.7
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2.4%
High: $16.47
From 52W Low
+134.7%
Low: $6.85
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.90
Above
20-Day
$15.00
Above
50-Day
$13.50
Above
200-Day
$10.70
Above
60-Day Support
$10.59
60-Day Resistance
$16.47
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+50.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.98%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.05x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-12)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$3.8B$3.6B$3.3B$3.5B
Gross Profit$1.4B$1.3B$1.2B$1.2B
Operating Income$252M$233M$-2.9B$-180M
Net Income$-128M$-5M$-3.0B$-517M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.11$-0.00$-2.55$-0.43
Gross Margin36.8%37.2%35.7%34.4%
Operating Margin6.7%6.5%-88.6%-5.1%
Net Margin-3.4%-0.1%-93.5%-14.6%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 6.3Valuation below sector median (P/E 6.3)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -7.9pt

Volume
100
8.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$142M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
84
$18.2B
Range
100
138% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$11.96$16.2930.7%Moderate
2022$8.42$15.6059.8%Wide
2023$8.74$12.4034.6%Moderate
2024$9.93$13.6231.3%Moderate
2025$6.85$12.6259.3%Wide
3-Year Range
66.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
138.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.