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46

RGC

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited

Aggressive #670High RiskLow 4Fโ†‘ 48pt
$26.63+0.45%
Day High$26.94
Day Low$26.19
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$13.2B
52W Low $052W High $84
Market Cap
$14.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
16.7%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Why This Score

RGC scores 46.4 on the Aggressive profile, blending a fundamental score (55% weight, emphasizing growth and momentum (91% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (45% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong momentum (25690%) โ€” the market is rewarding this name.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (25690%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -16.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, RGC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.4
Fundamental Score57.8
ML Score59.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.1
6 Month
1.2
Primary
1 Year
1.3

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade Blow float
Base
49.3
SHAP
+1.0
Factors
-1.3
Conviction
-2.6
Final
46.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)60.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-19.2% to -10.8%
Medium-term
-28.2% to -15.8%
Long-term
-40.2% to -23.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 59

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+256.9%
6M Momentum+1.2%
Volatility+3.9%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+25568.1%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector+25665.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+128.349
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P43
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P21
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P60
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 7th percentileP7
ML model weight reduced to 26% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected26% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.0pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 74% fund (55.1) + 26% ML (6.5) + SHAP(+1.0) = 43.5โ€”
Factor quality: -1.3pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.0pt (25690% 12m momentum)โ€”
Conviction penalty: -2.6pt (conviction=4)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -2.7pt (fund 48pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: very_high. Extreme vol 392.8% โ†’ -10.0pt; Strong momentum 25690% โ†’ +12.0pt; Severe drawdown 50% โ†’ -6.0ptVery_high

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #101 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RGC46.4N/A0.0%0.0%$14.4B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB85.613.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX82.113.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
ASND75.816.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
NBIX74.826.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
AMGN73.926.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.535.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.419.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ISRG72.261.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
EXEL71.615.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ALKS71.516.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
HALO70.316.822.4%43.7%$8.2B
Sector Average37.041.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Company Overviewvia FMP

Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited operates a Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) bioscience company. It focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of TCM for the treatment of neurocognitive disorders and degeneration, primarily attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and autism spectrum disorder. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

CEO
Yat-Gai Au
Employees
12
Beta
2.01
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
54.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-68.2%
High: $83.6
From 52W Low
+183%
Low: $9.39
Moving Averages
10-Day
$29.20
Below
20-Day
$28.20
Below
50-Day
$28.10
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$10.5
60-Day Resistance
$69

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q2 2024Q4 2024Q2 2023
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-2M$-2M$-1,212$-1,155.928
Net Income$-2M$-2M$-1,117$-1,033.311
EPS (Diluted)$-0.00$-0.14$0.00$-0.00
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 72/100Score impact: -8.4pt

Volume
79
493K avg/day
Dollar Vol
67
$13M/day
Float
45
18M shares
Mkt Cap
82
$14.4B
Range
100
79519% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA
low float
Free Float
3.7%
Outstanding Shares
494M
Bid-Ask Spread
79519.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.