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27

NAMS

🏥 Healthcare

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V.

Conservative #1172Aggressive #1133Moderate RiskLow 27F↑ 22pt
$35.01-2.78%
Day High$36.88
Day Low$34.56
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$4.0B
52W Low $1452W High $42
Market Cap
$4.0B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-50.6%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
15.6%
Profit Margin
-905.7%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

NAMS scores 27.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -15.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NAMS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.7
Fundamental Score45.6
ML Score10.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
24.5
6 Month
27.3
Primary
1 Year
28.8

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $4.0B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Anomalous margin data — extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 7 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
79
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
87
Grade A
Base
31.5
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
-0.4
Conviction
-2.2
Divergence
-3.1
Final
27.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-12.9% to -4.1%
Medium-term
-17.4% to -4.7%
Long-term
-21.9% to -5.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 10

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.5/100
Target Upside+32.8%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score78.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+20.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.68)
Relative Strength vs Sector+40.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.7)
Momentum Quality+0.489
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P6
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P41
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 38th percentileP38
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (60.2) + 9% ML (37.4) + SHAP(+1.9) = 60.1—
Factor quality: -0.4pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.8%. Max drawdown 25% (-6.7 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.0B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.2pt (conviction=27)—
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (fund 22pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (-905.7%) exceeds operating margin (-1002.9%) by 97pp — likely one-time item; High accrual ratio (-97.2%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $4.0B biotech/pharma — limited product diversificationFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #239 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NAMS27.7N/A-50.6%-905.7%$4.0B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 9Hold: 1
Price Target
$47consensus
Low $37Median $47High $55
+34.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on improving patient care in populations with metabolic diseases. Its lead investigational candidate, obicetrapib, is a novel, selective inhibitor that targets the Cholesteryl Ester Transfer Protein (CETP), which has been clinically shown to reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) while at the same time substantially increase high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). The company was founded in 2019 and is based in Naarden, the Netherlands.

CEO
Michael Harvey Davidson Facp.
Employees
68
Beta
0.07
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16.6%
High: $42
From 52W Low
+149%
Low: $14.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$35.20
Below
20-Day
$34.00
Above
50-Day
$34.10
Above
200-Day
$28.90
Above
60-Day Support
$30.17
60-Day Resistance
$41.8
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 84/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+21.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+18.21%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$32,000$348,000$19M$3M
Gross Profit$-27,000$348,000$19M$3M
Operating Income$-66M$-55M$-36M$-69M
Net Income$-75M$-72M$-17M$-40M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.65$-0.61$-0.15$-0.34
Gross Margin-84.4%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin-206187.5%-15845.7%-186.1%-2314.5%
Net Margin-234134.4%-20691.1%-90.7%-1327.3%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 87/100Score impact: -17.2pt

Volume
93
834K avg/day
Dollar Vol
87
$30M/day
Float
87
69M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$4.0B
Range
100
199% spread
Composite Liquidity Score87/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.56$10.8712.8%Narrow
2022$7.52$32.88125.5%Wide
2023$5.63$18.70107.4%Wide
2024$11.18$27.2983.8%Wide
2025$14.06$42.0099.7%Wide
3-Year Range
152.7%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
60.5%
Outstanding Shares
113M
Bid-Ask Spread
199.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.