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23

TNDM

🏥 Healthcare

Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc.

Conservative #1226Aggressive #973Moderate Risk
$25.79-0.85%
Day High$26.88
Day Low$25.57
Volume2.8M
Mkt Cap$1.7B
52W Low $1052W High $35
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
7.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-113.2%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
3.64

Why This Score

TNDM scores 23.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (87/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (18.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 3.64) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. TNDM's rank of #1226 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.3
Fundamental Score21.8
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
41.7
6 Month
46.6
Primary
1 Year
49.1

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.6x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.3%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
40
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
90
Grade A
Base
20.1
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+2.0
Final
23.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth28
Stability41
Investment46

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.2% to +0.1%
Medium-term
-6.2% to +0.3%
Long-term
-8.2% to +0.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.5/100
Target Upside+4.4%
Coverage39 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.4/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-65.9%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.28)
Relative Strength vs Sector-38.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.8)
Momentum Quality-0.088
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P53
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 22 relative to sector peers22/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 13th percentileP13
Blended score: 80% fundamental (22) + 20% ML (13) = 20.020.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 39% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.6x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #259 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TNDM23.3N/A7.9%-20.2%$1.8B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc., a medical device company, designs, develops, and commercializes various products for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company's flagship product is the t:slim X2 insulin delivery system, a pump platform that comprises t:slim X2 pump, its 300-unit disposable insulin cartridge, and an infusion set. It also provides t:slim X2 insulin with Basal-IQ and control IQ technology; t:slim X2 with G5 Integration; and Tandem Device Updater, a tool that allows users to update their pump's software. In addition, the company offers t:connect, a web-based data management application, which provides a visual way to display diabetes therapy management data from the pump, continuous glucose monitoring, and supported blood glucose meters for users, their caregivers, and their healthcare providers; and Sugarmate, a mobile app for people with diabetes who use insulin. It has development and commercialization agreements with Dexcom, Inc. and Abbott Laboratories. The company was formerly known as Phluid Inc. and changed its name to Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. in January 2008. Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
John F. Sheridan
Employees
2,650
Beta
1.69
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
72.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.3%
High: $34.99
From 52W Low
+158.4%
Low: $9.98
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.50
Above
20-Day
$21.00
Above
50-Day
$21.40
Above
200-Day
$17.70
Above
60-Day Support
$17.71
60-Day Resistance
$29.65
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 41/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+45.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.46%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
2.27x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
70
Confidence: 70%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$290M$249M$241M$234M
Gross Profit$167M$134M$126M$118M
Operating Income$8M$-20M$-52M$-121M
Net Income$-589,000$-21M$-52M$-131M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.01$-0.31$-0.78$-1.97
Gross Margin57.7%53.9%52.3%50.5%
Operating Margin2.9%-8.0%-21.5%-51.6%
Net Margin-0.2%-8.5%-21.8%-55.7%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 90/100Score impact: -24.2pt

Volume
100
1.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
96
$44M/day
Float
85
63M shares
Mkt Cap
58
$1.8B
Range
100
252% spread
Composite Liquidity Score90/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$76.19$155.8668.7%Wide
2022$33.52$150.64127.2%Wide
2023$13.82$47.18109.4%Wide
2024$21.85$53.6984.3%Wide
2025$9.98$38.28117.3%Wide
3-Year Range
137.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.2%
Outstanding Shares
68M
Bid-Ask Spread
252.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.