Back to Dashboard
42

RBCAA

🏦 Financial Services

Republic Bancorp, Inc.

Conservative #787Aggressive #1081Low RiskHigh 85
$70.95+2.62%
Day High$71.15
Day Low$68.83
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$1.2B
52W Low $5752W High $78
Market Cap
$1.2B
P/E Ratio
10.8
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
4.3%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
29.5%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.57

Why This Score

RBCAA scores 42.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 25.4%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.8x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (85/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, RBCAA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.4
Fundamental Score65.8
ML Score54.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.9
6 Month
83.8
Primary
1 Year
88.2

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, low dollar volume
Base
38.4
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+0.9
Final
42.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)72.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)57.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)55.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 54

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside-26.4%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score44.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+14.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.50)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.5)
Momentum Quality+0.081
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
26%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P49
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P67
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P77
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 77 relative to sector peers77/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 90th percentileP90
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (77.3) + 9% ML (89.8) + SHAP(+5.0) = 83.4
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.0%. Stability bonus of +9.9 points. Max drawdown 14% (-2.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.2B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.8pt (conviction=85)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #223 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RBCAA42.410.84.3%25.4%$1.2B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy2 analysts
Buy: 2
Price Target
$51consensus
Low $51Median $51High $51
-28.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Republic Bancorp, Inc., a financial holding company, provides various banking products and services in the United States. It operates in five segments: Traditional Banking, Warehouse, Mortgage Banking, Tax Refund Solutions, and Republic Credit Solutions. The company accepts demand, money market accounts, savings, individual retirement accounts, time, brokered, and other certificates of deposit. Its loan products include residential real estate, commercial real estate, construction and land development, home improvement and home equity, secured and unsecured personal, and aircraft loans. The company also offers credit cards; title insurance and other financial products and services; and memory banking, private banking, lockbox processing, remote deposit capture, business online banking, account reconciliation, automated clearing house processing, and internet and mobile banking services. In addition, it provides short-term and revolving credit facilities to mortgage bankers; tax refund solutions, which facilitate the receipt and payment of federal and state tax refund products through third-party tax preparers and tax-preparation software providers; and general purpose reloadable prepaid cards through third party service providers. Further, the company offers consumer credit products; and property and casualty insurance products. As of January 28, 2022, it operated 42 full-service banking centers. Republic Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

CEO
Steven E. Trager
Employees
981
Beta
0.59
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
32.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.3%
High: $78.25
From 52W Low
+24.9%
Low: $56.79
Moving Averages
10-Day
$71.50
Below
20-Day
$72.20
Below
50-Day
$71.60
Below
200-Day
$71.40
Below
60-Day Support
$67.07
60-Day Resistance
$76.1
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 23/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.52%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.23x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$119M$118M$118M$161M
Gross Profit$84M$90M$91M$117M
Operating Income$28M$38M$40M$60M
Net Income$23M$30M$31M$47M
EPS (Diluted)$1.15$1.52$1.59$2.42
Gross Margin70.9%76.1%76.5%72.2%
Operating Margin23.2%32.0%34.1%37.2%
Net Margin19.2%25.2%26.6%29.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.8Profit margin 25.4%Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 10.8)

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -12.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
31K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$2M/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$1.2B
Range
0
38% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumelow dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 4/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$41.97$57.6231.4%Moderate
2022$38.17$52.6331.9%Moderate
2023$37.23$57.5442.9%Wide
2024$46.55$80.6853.7%Wide
2025$56.79$78.2531.8%Moderate
3-Year Range
73.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
38.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.