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77

FHB

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

First Hawaiian, Inc.

Conservative #17Aggressive #403Low RiskHigh 95
$25.58+2.03%
Day High$25.67
Day Low$25.07
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $2052W High $28
Market Cap
$3.3B
P/E Ratio
11.8
Sector avg: 50.1
Rev Growth
3.2%
Sector avg: 13.3%
Earnings Growth
20.0%
Profit Margin
24.2%
Sector avg: -2.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

FHB scores 78.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 24.2%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 11.8x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (4.7% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (95/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-1.4 points) applied. FHB's rank of #17 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score78.3
Fundamental Score80.6
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.3
6 Month
79.7
Primary
1 Year
83.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.047 vol with only 3.2% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safety

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
44
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
90
Grade A
Base
75.7
SHAP
+2.1
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.4
Divergence
-1.4
Final
78.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)70.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.6% to +3.7%
Medium-term
-0.2% to +6.4%
Long-term
+0.1% to +9.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+10.9%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score43.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-1.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.63)
Relative Strength vs Sector-5.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality+0.027
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
16%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P47
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P58
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P51
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 77 relative to sector peers77/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (77.1) + 9% ML (82.2) + SHAP(+4.3) = 81.8โ€”
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 4.7%. Stability bonus of +12.0 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.3B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.0pt (conviction=95)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -11 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: False stability: 0.0 vol with only 3.2% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safety; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure โ€” forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #6 of 365 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
CNOB72.017.513.4%11.9%$1.4B
Sector Average45.550.113.3%-2.1%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold17 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 9Sell: 4
Price Target
$28consensus
Low $28Median $28High $28
+8.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

First Hawaiian, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First Hawaiian Bank that provides a range of banking services to consumer and commercial customers in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Commercial Banking, and Treasury and Other. The company accepts various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, and other deposit accounts. It also provides residential and commercial mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, automobile loans and leases, personal lines of credit, installment loans, and small business loans and leases, as well as commercial lease and auto dealer financing. In addition, the company offers personal installment, credit card, individual investment and financial planning, insurance protection, trust and estate, private banking, retirement planning, treasury, and merchant processing services. It operates a network of 54 branches, which include 49 in Hawaii, 3 in Guam, and 2 in Saipan. The company was formerly known as BancWest Corporation and changed its name to First Hawaiian, Inc. in April 2016. First Hawaiian, Inc. was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.

CEO
Robert Scott Harrison
Employees
1,995
Beta
0.69
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
33.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.8%
High: $28.35
From 52W Low
+25.9%
Low: $20.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.00
Below
20-Day
$26.50
Below
50-Day
$26.50
Below
200-Day
$25.20
Above
60-Day Support
$24.74
60-Day Resistance
$28.35
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+1.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.36%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$292M$291M$282M$278M
Gross Profit$292M$213M$205M$193M
Operating Income$93M$96M$88M$77M
Net Income$70M$74M$73M$59M
EPS (Diluted)$0.56$0.59$0.58$0.47
Gross Margin100.0%73.3%72.5%69.3%
Operating Margin31.8%33.0%31.2%27.7%
Net Margin23.9%25.4%25.9%21.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 11.8Profit margin 24.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 11.8)

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 90/100Score impact: +11.2pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
90
$35M/day
Float
100
123M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.3B
Range
78
40% spread
Composite Liquidity Score90/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 11/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$24.75$30.8021.8%Narrow
2022$21.21$31.1638%Wide
2023$15.08$28.2860.9%Wide
2024$19.48$28.8038.6%Wide
2025$20.32$28.2832.8%Moderate
3-Year Range
62.5%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
stagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.2%
Outstanding Shares
124M
Bid-Ask Spread
40.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.