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72

TW

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Conservative #55Aggressive #94Moderate RiskHigh 92
$120.75-0.28%
Day High$121.26
Day Low$118.84
Volume1.4M
Mkt Cap$25.7B
52W Low $9752W High $153
Market Cap
$24.8B
P/E Ratio
30.0
Sector avg: 50.1
Rev Growth
18.9%
Sector avg: 13.3%
Earnings Growth
62.1%
Profit Margin
39.6%
Sector avg: -2.1%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

TW scores 73.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 39.6%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (91/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (92/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-1.6 points) applied. TW's rank of #55 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score73.1
Fundamental Score65.6
ML Score91.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.3
6 Month
83.1
Primary
1 Year
87.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
70.7
SHAP
+1.7
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.5
Divergence
-1.6
Final
73.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

77AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)77.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)50.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.4% to +7.2%
Medium-term
+4.2% to +11.5%
Long-term
+6.2% to +16.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 91

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.1/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage28 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score39.2/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-8.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.4)
Momentum Quality-0.111
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P77
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P17
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P73
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 80 relative to sector peers80/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (79.6) + 9% ML (88.8) + SHAP(+3.1) = 83.5โ€”
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 6.7%. Stability bonus of +8.5 points. Max drawdown 30% (-8.9 pts). Price momentum -16% (-2.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($24.8B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.6pt (conviction=92)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #12 of 365 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
CNOB72.017.513.4%11.9%$1.4B
Sector Average45.550.113.3%-2.1%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy28 analysts
Buy: 18Hold: 10
Price Target
$142consensus
Low $112Median $134High $203
+17.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company's marketplaces facilitate trading in a range of asset classes, including rates, credit, money markets, and equities. It offers pre-trade data and analytics, trade execution, and trade processing, as well as post-trade data, analytics, and reporting services. The company provides flexible order and trading systems to institutional investors in 45 markets across 25 currencies. It also offers a range of electronic, voice, and hybrid platforms to approximately 300 dealers and financial institutions on electronic or hybrid markets with Dealerweb platform; and trading solutions for financial advisory firms and traders with Tradeweb Direct platform. The company serves a network of approximately 2,500 clients in the institutional, wholesale, and retail client sectors. Its customers include asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, central banks, banks and dealers, proprietary trading firms, retail brokerage and financial advisory firms, and regional dealers. Tradeweb Markets Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Tradeweb Markets Inc. is a subsidiary of Refinitiv Parent Limited.

CEO
William E. Hult
Employees
1,412
Beta
0.80
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
81.0
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.9%
High: $152.65
From 52W Low
+24.4%
Low: $97.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$117.40
Above
20-Day
$112.10
Above
50-Day
$108.20
Above
200-Day
$120.50
Above
60-Day Support
$97.06
60-Day Resistance
$121.57
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 43/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.56%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 50%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-23)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$521M$509M$513M$510M
Gross Profit$461M$344M$343M$333M
Operating Income$230M$210M$200M$204M
Net Income$325M$186M$154M$148M
EPS (Diluted)$1.51$0.86$0.71$0.69
Gross Margin88.5%67.6%66.9%65.3%
Operating Margin44.2%41.4%39.0%40.0%
Net Margin62.4%36.5%30.0%29.1%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 18.9%Profit margin 39.6%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 97/100Score impact: +1.1pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$162M/day
Float
100
211M shares
Mkt Cap
88
$24.8B
Range
89
57% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$66.50$102.3342.4%Wide
2022$51.47$100.2564.3%Wide
2023$62.45$97.1843.5%Wide
2024$88.49$141.6946.2%Wide
2025$101.71$152.6540.1%Wide
3-Year Range
83.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.5%
Outstanding Shares
213M
Bid-Ask Spread
57.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.