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67

QCRH

🏦 Financial Services

QCR Holdings, Inc.

Conservative #127Aggressive #360Low RiskModerate 60ML↑ 20pt
$90.60+2.32%
Day High$90.97
Day Low$87.55
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$1.5B
52W Low $6152W High $96
Market Cap
$1.6B
P/E Ratio
12.2
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
1.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
11.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.56

Why This Score

QCRH scores 68.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 21.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 12.2x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.8% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (23%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score68.2
Fundamental Score69.2
ML Score69.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.5
6 Month
74.4
Primary
1 Year
78.3

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
42
Grade Clow volume, low float
Base
65.6
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-1.4
Final
68.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.3% to +3.9%
Medium-term
+0.4% to +6.9%
Long-term
+1.1% to +9.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 69

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.9/100
Target Upside+10.7%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.0%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.78)
Relative Strength vs Sector+14.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.0)
Momentum Quality+0.210
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
11%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P43
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P35
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (58.1) + 9% ML (78.0) + SHAP(+4.3) = 64.2—
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.8%. Stability bonus of +10.5 points. Max drawdown 9% (-0.3 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.6B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (ML 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (32.3%) — earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #35 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
QCRH68.212.21.5%21.3%$1.6B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy8 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 1
Price Target
$98consensus
Low $83Median $103High $108
+8.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

QCR Holdings, Inc., a multi-bank holding company, provides commercial and consumer banking, and trust and asset management services. Its deposit products include noninterest-bearing demand, interest-bearing demand, time, and brokered deposits. The company also provides various commercial and retail lending/leasing, and investment services to corporations, partnerships, individuals, and government agencies. Its loan portfolio comprises loans to small and mid-sized businesses; business loans, including lines of credit for working capital and operational purposes; term loans for the acquisition of facilities, equipment, and other purposes; commercial and residential real estate loans; and installment and other consumer loans, such as home improvement, home equity, motor vehicle, and signature loans, as well as small personal credit lines. In addition, the company engages in leasing of machinery and equipment to commercial and industrial businesses under direct financing lease contracts; and issuance of trust preferred securities. It serves the Quad Cities, Cedar Rapids, Cedar Valley, Des Moines/Ankeny, and Springfield communities. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.

CEO
Todd A. Gipple
Employees
972
Beta
0.82
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.6%
High: $96
From 52W Low
+48.9%
Low: $60.83
Moving Averages
10-Day
$91.30
Below
20-Day
$91.80
Below
50-Day
$88.00
Above
200-Day
$77.50
Above
60-Day Support
$79.72
60-Day Resistance
$96
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 77/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.09%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.94x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
85
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$166M$159M$140M$131M
Gross Profit$102M$95M$78M$70M
Operating Income$39M$41M$31M$26M
Net Income$36M$37M$29M$26M
EPS (Diluted)$2.13$2.16$1.71$1.52
Gross Margin61.1%59.5%55.6%53.6%
Operating Margin23.3%25.5%21.8%19.9%
Net Margin21.5%23.0%20.7%19.6%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.2Profit margin 21.3%

Tradability FilterGrade C — 42/100Score impact: -2.7pt

Volume
15
94K avg/day
Dollar Vol
57
$8M/day
Float
37
16M shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.6B
Range
89
58% spread
Composite Liquidity Score42/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$41.40$61.1938.6%Wide
2022$46.83$62.8529.2%Moderate
2023$35.14$61.0353.8%Wide
2024$53.22$96.0857.4%Wide
2025$60.83$88.1636.7%Wide
3-Year Range
92.9%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
96.2%
Outstanding Shares
17M
Bid-Ask Spread
58.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.