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PRTA

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Prothena Corporation plc

Conservative #1372Aggressive #1409High Risk
$8.64-2.70%
Day High$8.96
Day Low$8.62
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$465M
52W Low $452W High $16
Market Cap
$486M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-92.8%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-99.6%
Profit Margin
-2520.6%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

PRTA scores 9.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (22.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score9.5
Fundamental Score20.1
ML Score1.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
10.9
6 Month
12.2
Primary
1 Year
12.8

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Anomalous margin data โ€” extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 4 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
67
Grade Bsmall cap
Base
10.3
SHAP
+0.7
Factors
-0.9
Divergence
-0.6
Final
9.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

22AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth0
Stability49
Investment11

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)34.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-27.6% to -15.6%
Medium-term
-36.8% to -20.8%
Long-term
-47.0% to -25.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 1

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.1/100
Target Upside+187.6%
Coverage28 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-52.6%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.21)
Relative Strength vs Sector-67.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.0)
Momentum Quality-0.161
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P3
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P2
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 20 relative to sector peers20/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 1th percentileP1
Blended score: 80% fundamental (20) + 20% ML (1) = 16.316.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 63% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.7pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.6pt (ML 19pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: ANOMALY_MARGIN (4.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #325 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PRTA9.5N/A-92.8%-2520.6%$486M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy28 analysts
Buy: 20Hold: 6Sell: 2
Price Target
$26consensus
Low $19Median $20High $36
+200.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Prothena Corporation plc, a late-stage clinical company, focuses on discovery and development of novel therapies for life-threatening diseases in the United States. The company is involved in developing Birtamimab, an investigational humanized antibody that is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of AL amyloidosis; Prasinezumab, a humanized monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase IIb clinical trial for the treatment of Parkinson's disease; PRX004 that completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of Transthyretin amyloidosis; and PRX005, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. Its discovery and preclinical programs include PRX012 for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease; and dual AรŸ-Tau vaccine for the treatment and prevention of Alzheimer's disease. Prothena Corporation plc has a license, development, and commercialization agreement with F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd. and Hoffmann-La Roche Inc. to develop and commercialize antibodies that target alpha-synuclein; and a collaboration agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb to develop antibodies. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Gene G. Kinney
Employees
163
Beta
-0.25
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-46.5%
High: $16.16
From 52W Low
+100%
Low: $4.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.90
Below
20-Day
$8.90
Below
50-Day
$9.20
Below
200-Day
$8.40
Above
60-Day Support
$8.2
60-Day Resistance
$11.57
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 58/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+2.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.2%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.76x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
14
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$21,000$2M$4M$3M
Gross Profit$0$-27M$4M$3M
Operating Income$-27M$-40M$-85M$-66M
Net Income$-22M$-37M$-126M$-60M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.40$-0.68$-2.34$-1.12
Gross Margin0.0%-1098.3%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin-129576.2%-1666.3%-1914.4%-2319.0%
Net Margin-102804.8%-1513.1%-2845.4%-2128.5%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 67/100Score impact: -21.0pt

Volume
83
583K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
73
43M shares
Mkt Cap
29
$486M
Range
100
274% spread
Composite Liquidity Score67/100
FDCBA
small cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.21x dampening
weinstein basingsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
80.6%
Outstanding Shares
54M
Bid-Ask Spread
274.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.