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53

MCBS

🏦 Financial Services

MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.

Conservative #469Aggressive #810Low RiskHigh 90
$28.85+1.66%
Day High$29.00
Day Low$28.50
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$831M
52W Low $2452W High $31
Market Cap
$837M
P/E Ratio
11.3
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
1.1%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
6.5%
Profit Margin
28.8%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.99

Why This Score

MCBS scores 53.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 28.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 11.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.7% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • High conviction (90/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, MCBS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score53.5
Fundamental Score63.3
ML Score69.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.2
6 Month
69.6
Primary
1 Year
73.2

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
20
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
49.5
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.3
Final
53.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)62.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.5% to +2.6%
Medium-term
-1.8% to +4.4%
Long-term
-2.1% to +6.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 69

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.55)
Relative Strength vs Sector-9.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality-0.006
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P42
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P62
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P57
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 68 relative to sector peers68/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (67.7) + 9% ML (72.5) + SHAP(+4.3) = 72.4
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.6%. Stability bonus of +10.7 points. Max drawdown 14% (-2.6 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.8B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.4pt (conviction=90)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #142 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MCBS53.511.31.1%28.8%$837M
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold2 analysts
Hold: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Metro City Bank that provides banking products and services in the United States. It provides consumer and commercial checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposits, money transfers, and other banking services. The company also offers construction and development, commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, single family residential mortgage, small business administration, and other consumer loans; and online banking, treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house, and cash management services. It serves small to medium-sized businesses, individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities. The company operates 19 full-service branch locations in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas, and Virginia. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Doraville, Georgia.

CEO
Nack Young Paek
Employees
240
Beta
0.73
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.1%
High: $31.06
From 52W Low
+19%
Low: $24.24
Moving Averages
10-Day
$28.90
Below
20-Day
$28.90
Below
50-Day
$28.00
Above
200-Day
$28.00
Above
60-Day Support
$26.14
60-Day Resistance
$30.57
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 29/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-0.25%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.14x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
18
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$61M$60M$60M$58M
Gross Profit$37M$39M$38M$36M
Operating Income$23M$24M$24M$22M
Net Income$18M$17M$17M$16M
EPS (Diluted)$0.68$0.67$0.65$0.63
Gross Margin60.1%64.0%63.2%62.1%
Operating Margin38.3%39.6%39.6%38.1%
Net Margin30.1%28.7%28.1%28.1%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 11.3Profit margin 28.8%

Tradability FilterGrade D — 20/100Score impact: -6.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
3
59K avg/day
Dollar Vol
8
$2M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
36
$837M
Range
33
28% spread
Composite Liquidity Score20/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$14.00$29.8272.2%Wide
2022$18.61$29.2644.5%Wide
2023$13.10$26.2366.8%Wide
2024$21.89$36.1549.1%Wide
2025$24.24$34.9136.1%Wide
3-Year Range
93.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
28.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.