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52

CAC

🏦 Financial Services

Camden National Corporation

Conservative #498Aggressive #529Low RiskMixed 56ML↑ 22pt
Market Cap
$832M
P/E Ratio
12.7
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
26.8%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
22.9%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.92

Why This Score

CAC scores 52.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 12.7x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (19%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CAC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.4
Fundamental Score65.2
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
80.4
6 Month
89.9
Primary
1 Year
94.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
36
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
50.1
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-1.7
Final
52.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)69.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+5.6% to +10.8%
Medium-term
+9.3% to +17.3%
Long-term
+14.0% to +25.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+6.5%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector+9.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.9)
Momentum Quality+0.174
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P84
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P52
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P73
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (60.3) + 9% ML (82.3) + SHAP(+5.0) = 67.3—
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.4%. Stability bonus of +9.3 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.8B market cap)-15.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (ML 22pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-50.8%) — earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #148 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CAC52.412.726.8%17.7%$832M
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for CAC.

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.7Revenue growth 26.8%Profit margin 17.7%

Tradability FilterGrade D — 36/100Score impact: -13.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
13
90K avg/day
Dollar Vol
40
$4M/day
Float
38
17M shares
Mkt Cap
36
$832M
Range
85
49% spread
Composite Liquidity Score36/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow float
Free Float
97.8%
Outstanding Shares
17M
Bid-Ask Spread
49.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.