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INDV

🏥 Healthcare

Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

Conservative #329Aggressive #772Low RiskHigh 100
$32.67-2.85%
Day High$35.34
Day Low$32.38
Volume1.3M
Mkt Cap$4.1B
52W Low $852W High $38
Market Cap
$4.4B
P/E Ratio
25.5
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
8.7%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
101.6%
Profit Margin
14.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

INDV scores 61.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -1.72) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (274%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (11.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -10.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, INDV would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score61.0
Fundamental Score75.7
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
64.2
6 Month
71.7
Primary
1 Year
75.5

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $4.2B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
80
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
60.7
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.5
Divergence
-3.7
Final
61.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)93.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)89.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.3% to +4.0%
Medium-term
+0.4% to +7.0%
Long-term
+1.2% to +10.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+32.8%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score79.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+2.7%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+231.8%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.15)
Relative Strength vs Sector+249.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+2.643
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P54
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P17
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P73
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 75 relative to sector peers75/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (75.2) + 9% ML (72.6) + SHAP(+4.3) = 79.3
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 11.3%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -6.0pt (274% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.2B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Earnings growth (102%) far exceeds revenue growth (8.7%) — margin expansion may not be sustainable; High accrual ratio (-53.4%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $4.2B biotech/pharma — limited product diversificationFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #40 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
INDV61.025.58.7%14.1%$4.4B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ASND78.216.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture and sale of buprenorphine-based prescription drugs for treatment of opioid dependence. Its products include Suboxone Film, Suboxone Tablet, and Subutex Tablet. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Rest of World, and United Kingdom. The company was founded on September 26, 2014 and is headquartered in North Chesterfield, VA.

CEO
Joseph J. Ciaffoni
Employees
1,030
Beta
1.14
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
35.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.5%
High: $38
From 52W Low
+304.1%
Low: $8.04
Moving Averages
10-Day
$33.80
Below
20-Day
$34.10
Below
50-Day
$34.60
Below
200-Day
$25.20
Above
60-Day Support
$31.7
60-Day Resistance
$38
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+28.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+42.07%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$314M$302M$266M$299M
Gross Profit$230M$250M$222M$276M
Operating Income$43M$72M$66M$96M
Net Income$42M$18M$47M$59M
EPS (Diluted)$0.33$0.14$0.38$0.45
Gross Margin73.2%82.8%83.5%92.3%
Operating Margin13.7%23.8%24.8%32.1%
Net Margin13.4%6.0%17.7%19.7%

Why This Stock

HealthcareProfit margin 14.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: +1.1pt

Volume
100
2.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$76M/day
Float
100
107M shares
Mkt Cap
65
$4.4B
Range
100
399% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$8.00$18.0577.2%Wide
2022$3.13$22.00150.2%Wide
2023$14.38$26.5059.3%Wide
2024$7.33$23.22104%Wide
2025$7.62$38.00133.2%Wide
3-Year Range
135.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
85.6%
Outstanding Shares
125M
Bid-Ask Spread
399.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.