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24

GYRE

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Gyre Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1202Aggressive #1348Moderate Risk
$8.24-3.29%
Day High$8.65
Day Low$8.22
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$749M
52W Low $652W High $14
Market Cap
$777M
P/E Ratio
110.9
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
-6.8%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
113.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

GYRE scores 24.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 110.9x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (14.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -25.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, GYRE would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score24.6
Fundamental Score51.3
ML Score32.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
57.8
6 Month
64.6
Primary
1 Year
68.0

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low dollar volume, low volume
Base
22.4
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-0.6
Final
24.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

45AVG
Value11
Quality38
Growth63
Stability71
Investment44

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.1% to +4.2%
Medium-term
-2.8% to +6.6%
Long-term
-3.6% to +9.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 32

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+108.1%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-34.5%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.12)
Relative Strength vs Sector-55.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.1)
Momentum Quality-0.223
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P11
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P2
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P60
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 32th percentileP32
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (32) = 47.447.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 28% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.6pt (ML 19pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #248 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GYRE24.6110.9-6.8%6.2%$777M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1
Price Target
$16consensus
Low $16Median $16High $16
+94.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Gyre Therapeutics, Inc., a pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of small-molecule, anti-inflammatory, and anti-fibrotic drugs targeting organ fibrosis. It offers ETUARY (Pirfenidone), an anti-fibrotic drug approved for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; and under phase 3 studies for dermatomyositis and systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease, pneumoconiosis, and diabetic kidney disease. The company is also involved the development of F351 (Hydronidone), a structural derivative of ETUARY (Pirfenidone), under Phase 3 studies for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B liver fibrosis; and under Phase 1 studies for liver fibrosis associated with nonalcoholic associated steatohepatitis. In addition, its development pipeline includes F573, under Phase 2 studies for the treatment of acute/acute-on-chronic liver failure; F528, under preclinical stage for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and F230, under preclinical stage for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Gyre Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of GNI USA, Inc.

CEO
Ping Zhang
Employees
579
Beta
7.05
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
58.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-40.1%
High: $13.75
From 52W Low
+34.9%
Low: $6.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.30
Below
20-Day
$8.10
Above
50-Day
$7.80
Above
200-Day
$7.90
Above
60-Day Support
$6.76
60-Day Resistance
$8.95
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+4.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.6%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.95x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
10
Confidence: 50%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$7.49
Stop Entry Now Target
$14.16
Entry Zone
$7.72 โ€“ $8.03
SMA50 pullback zone ($7.72โ€“$8.03)
Exit Target
$13.75
52-week high / +22% target ($13.75)
Stop Level
$7.74
Below SMA200 ($7.74)
Risk / Reward:1 : 43.52Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$31M$27M$22M$28M
Gross Profit$29M$26M$21M$27M
Operating Income$7M$2M$2M$597,000
Net Income$4M$442,000$3M$-99,000
EPS (Diluted)$0.03$0.00$0.00$-0.16
Gross Margin94.7%95.7%95.9%95.8%
Operating Margin22.7%8.1%10.3%2.1%
Net Margin11.8%1.7%12.2%-0.4%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -31.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
75K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$611K/day
Float
0
16M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$777M
Range
0
125% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low dollar volumelow volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$13.50$97.05151.2%Wide
2022$5.25$31.35142.6%Wide
2023$2.85$30.40165.7%Wide
2024$8.26$27.45107.5%Wide
2025$6.11$13.7576.9%Wide
3-Year Range
165.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
17.9%
Outstanding Shares
91M
Bid-Ask Spread
125.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.