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42

AVBP

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock

Conservative #827Aggressive #763Low RiskMixed 41Fโ†‘ 29pt
$22.33-4.10%
Day High$23.30
Day Low$22.01
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$922M
52W Low $1552W High $28
Market Cap
$949M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-16.1%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

AVBP scores 42.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (11.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-4.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.5
Fundamental Score43.1
ML Score51.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
18.3
6 Month
20.5
Primary
1 Year
21.6

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.9B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
65
Grade B
Base
42.8
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.3
Conviction
-0.9
Final
42.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)62.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.5% to -3.7%
Medium-term
-12.7% to -4.4%
Long-term
-15.9% to -5.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 51

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+86.1%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-22.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.28)
Relative Strength vs Sector-29.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.4)
Momentum Quality-0.041
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P13
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 34th percentileP34
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (63.5) + 9% ML (32.1) + SHAP(+0.9) = 61.5โ€”
Factor quality: -0.3pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 11.6%. Max drawdown 15% (-2.9 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.9B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -0.9pt (conviction=41)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -2.9pt (fund 29pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.9B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #120 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AVBP42.5N/A0.0%0.0%$949M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ASND78.216.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Company Overviewvia FMP

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that engages in the identification, development, and commercialization of medicines for the unmet medical needs of patients with cancers. It also engages in the development and commercialization of targeted cancer therapies for non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and other solid tumors. The company develops Furmonertinib, an epidermal growth factor receptor mutant-selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor that is in phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of NSCLC patients; and ARR-002. It has strategic collaborations with Aarvik Therapeutics Inc. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Zhengbin Yao
Employees
52
Beta
1.03
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-15.1%
High: $26.33
From 52W Low
+44.5%
Low: $15.47
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.90
Below
20-Day
$22.50
Below
50-Day
$22.00
Above
200-Day
$20.90
Above
60-Day Support
$18.2
60-Day Resistance
$26
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 63/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.16%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.72x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
33
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-38M$-34M$-67M$-24M
Net Income$-35M$-31M$-64M$-21M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.83$-0.90$-1.90$-0.61
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 65/100Score impact: -12.2pt

Volume
76
457K avg/day
Dollar Vol
61
$11M/day
Float
57
27M shares
Mkt Cap
39
$949M
Range
100
80% spread
Composite Liquidity Score65/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$14.35$36.3786.8%Wide
2025$15.47$29.7163%Wide
3-Year Range
86.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
65.4%
Outstanding Shares
41M
Bid-Ask Spread
80.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.