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68

CSWC

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Capital Southwest Corporation

Conservative #114Aggressive #498Low RiskMixed 48MLโ†‘ 26pt
$22.97+1.95%
Day High$22.97
Day Low$22.47
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $1752W High $24
Market Cap
$1.4B
P/E Ratio
12.7
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
7.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-15.4%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.42

Why This Score

CSWC scores 68.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 48.2%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 12.7x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (4.9% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (12%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. CSWC's rank of #114 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score68.8
Fundamental Score69.5
ML Score56.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.3
6 Month
74.1
Primary
1 Year
78.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade B
Base
67.1
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-2.3
Final
68.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)54.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.1% to +3.1%
Medium-term
-0.9% to +5.4%
Long-term
-0.7% to +7.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 56

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score67.5/100
Target Upside-1.6%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.51)
Relative Strength vs Sector+3.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality+0.109
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P61
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P52
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P7
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 78th percentileP78
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (51.7) + 9% ML (77.6) + SHAP(+3.7) = 57.8โ€”
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 4.9%. Stability bonus of +12.0 points. Max drawdown 10% (-0.7 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.4B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.3pt (ML 26pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (167.9%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #27 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CSWC68.812.77.7%48.2%$1.4B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Capital Southwest Corporation is a business development company specializing in credit and private equity and venture capital investments in middle market companies, mezzanine, later stage, mature, late venture, emerging growth, buyouts, recapitalizations and growth capital investments. It does not invest in startups, publicly traded companies, real estate developments, project finance opportunities, oil and gas exploration businesses, troubled companies, turnarounds, and companies in which significant senior management is departing. In lower middle market, the firm typically invests in growth financing, bolt-on acquisitions, new platform acquisitions, refinancing, dividend recapitalizations, sponsor-led buyouts, and management buyouts situations. The investment structures are Unitranche debt, subordinated debt, senior debt, first and second lien debt, and preferred and common equity. The firm makes equity co-investments alongside debt investments, up to 20% of total check and only makes non-control investments. It prefers to invest in Industrial manufacturing and services, value-added distribution, healthcare products and services, business services, specialty chemicals, food and beverage, tech-enabled services and SaaS models. The firm seeks to invest in energy services and products, industrial technologies, and specialty chemicals and products. Within energy services and products, the firm seeks to invest in each segment of the industry, including upstream, midstream and downstream, excluding exploration and production with a focus on differentiated products and services, equipment and tool rental, consumable products, and drilling and completion chemicals. Within industrial technologies, it seeks to invest in automation and process controls, handling and packaging equipment, industrial filtration and fluid handling, measurement, monitoring and testing, professional tools, and sensors and instrumentation. Within and specialty chemicals and products, the firm seeks to invest in businesses that develop and manufacture highly differentiated chemicals and products including adhesives, coatings and sealants, catalysts and absorbents, cosmeceuticals, fine chemicals, flavors and fragrances, performance lubricants, polymers, plastics and composites, chemical dispensing and filtration equipment, professional and industrial trade consumables and tools, engineered solutions for HVAC, plumbing, and electrical installations, specified high performance materials for fire protection and oilfield applications. It may also invest in exceptional opportunities in building products. The firm seeks to invest in the United States. The firm seeks to make investments ranging from $5 to $25 million in securities. It seeks to make equity investments ranging from $5 million to $50 million and debt investments between $5 million and $20 million and co-invest in transaction size up to $40 million. It prefers to invest in companies with revenues approaching above $10 million, profitable operations, historical growth rate of at least 15 percent per year. Within the lower middle market, it seeks to invest in with less than $15 million in EBITDA and also opportunistically invests in the upper middle market, generally defined as companies with EBITDA in excess of $50 million. In addition to making direct investments, the firm allocates capital to syndicated first and second lien term loans in the upper middle market. Criteria for Upper Middle Market Syndicated 1st Lien is EBITDA Size more than $30 million, Closing Leverage greater than 4 times, investment hold size between $5 million and $7 million, investment yield greater than 6.5%. Criteria for Upper Middle Market Syndicated 2nd Lien is EBITDA Size more than $50 million, Closing Leverage greater than 6 times, investment hold size between $5 million and $7 million, investment yield greater than 9%. It prefers to take a majority and minority stake. The firm has the flexibility to hold investments for very long period in its portfolio companies. It may also invest through warrants. The firm prefers to take Board participation in its portfolio companies. Capital Southwest Corporation was founded on April 19, 1961 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

CEO
Michael Scott Sarner
Employees
27
Beta
0.78
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.6%
High: $23.84
From 52W Low
+31.6%
Low: $17.46
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.90
Above
20-Day
$23.10
Below
50-Day
$22.70
Above
200-Day
$22.00
Above
60-Day Support
$21.22
60-Day Resistance
$23.84
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+4.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.52%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.96x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
42
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$62M$52M$54M$46M
Gross Profit$44M$36M$38M$31M
Operating Income$33M$29M$30M$22M
Net Income$33M$26M$27M$18M
EPS (Diluted)$0.54$0.44$0.48$0.33
Gross Margin70.9%69.4%71.6%67.0%
Operating Margin53.2%56.2%56.7%47.9%
Net Margin53.1%48.9%50.3%38.2%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.7Profit margin 48.2%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 72/100Score impact: +5.6pt

Volume
84
588K avg/day
Dollar Vol
66
$13M/day
Float
83
58M shares
Mkt Cap
47
$1.4B
Range
66
37% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 25/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$20.70$28.4131.4%Moderate
2022$16.28$26.6148.2%Wide
2023$16.34$24.2939.1%Wide
2024$20.68$27.2327.3%Moderate
2025$17.46$23.8631%Moderate
3-Year Range
50%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
97.1%
Outstanding Shares
60M
Bid-Ask Spread
37.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.