Ares Capital Corporation
ARCC scores 65.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-3.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 65.6 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 56.1% | $13.8B |
| CME | 86.4 | 27.2 | 9.9% | 57.5% | $112.1B |
| FHB | 84.9 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 24.2% | $3.2B |
| ACT | 84.4 | 8.9 | 2.4% | 54.6% | $6.1B |
| CINF | 84.2 | 10.7 | 11.4% | 18.9% | $25.8B |
| SEIC | 82.2 | 14.0 | 10.7% | 27.3% | $10.1B |
| TROW | 79.9 | 10.1 | 3.1% | 28.5% | $21.1B |
| QQQX | 79.7 | 10.4 | 48.6% | 257.3% | $1.4B |
| IBOC | 78.2 | 10.6 | 7.5% | 40.1% | $4.4B |
| HWC | 77.8 | 12.2 | -1.5% | 24.1% | $5.8B |
| FFIN | 77.4 | 18.8 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $4.8B |
| TRMK | 77.1 | 11.9 | 34.8% | 19.3% | $2.7B |
| NMIH | 77.0 | 7.7 | 8.4% | 55.1% | $3.1B |
| EWBC | 76.7 | 12.7 | 4.6% | 28.3% | $16.0B |
| WSFS | 76.3 | 12.8 | -3.1% | 21.1% | $3.6B |
| MCHB | 76.1 | N/A | 123.7% | 23.2% | $3.3B |
| Sector Average | 47.5 | 26.8 | 13.4% | -2.8% | — |
Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, and leveraged buyout transactions of middle market companies. It also makes growth capital and general refinancing. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in the basic and growth manufacturing, business services, consumer products, health care products and services, and information technology service sectors. The fund will also consider investments in industries such as restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors. It focuses on investments in Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Southwest regions from its New York office, the Midwest region, from the Chicago office, and the Western region from the Los Angeles office. The fund typically invests between $20 million and $200 million and a maximum of $400 million in companies with an EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. It makes debt investments between $10 million and $100 million The fund invests through revolvers, first lien loans, warrants, unitranche structures, second lien loans, mezzanine debt, private high yield, junior capital, subordinated debt, and non-control preferred and common equity. The fund also selectively considers third-party-led senior and subordinated debt financings and opportunistically considers the purchase of stressed and discounted debt positions. The fund prefers to be an agent and/or lead the transactions in which it invests. The fund also seeks board representation in its portfolio companies.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $635M | $655M | $579M | $446M |
| Gross Profit | $447M | $460M | $407M | $274M |
| Operating Income | $529M | $431M | $378M | $248M |
| Net Income | $293M | $404M | $361M | $241M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.41 | $0.57 | $0.52 | $0.36 |
| Gross Margin | 70.4% | 70.2% | 70.3% | 61.4% |
| Operating Margin | 83.3% | 65.8% | 65.3% | 55.6% |
| Net Margin | 46.1% | 61.7% | 62.3% | 54.0% |
This stock has traded in a compressed range for 4 of the last 5 years (3-year range: 33.8%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -3.5pt penalty has been applied.
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $17.95 | $21.74 | 19.1% | Narrow |
| 2022 | $16.53 | $23.00 | 32.7% | Moderate |
| 2023 | $16.95 | $20.21 | 17.5% | Narrow |
| 2024 | $19.32 | $22.44 | 14.9% | Narrow |
| 2025 | $18.26 | $23.84 | 26.5% | Moderate |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.