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31

XNCR

🏥 Healthcare

Xencor, Inc.

Conservative #1061Aggressive #851Moderate RiskHigh 94
$13.78+14.98%
Day High$14.54
Day Low$12.12
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$984M
52W Low $752W High $19
Market Cap
$924M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
18.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
-82.9%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.32

Why This Score

XNCR scores 30.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (94/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.9
Fundamental Score34.4
ML Score12.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
36.6
6 Month
40.9
Primary
1 Year
43.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.8%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
72
Grade B
Base
28.0
SHAP
+1.7
Factors
+0.3
Conviction
+1.9
Divergence
-1.1
Final
30.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage86%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.1% to +0.2%
Medium-term
-6.0% to +0.5%
Long-term
-7.9% to +0.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 12

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.2/100
Target Upside+150.4%
Coverage27 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-67.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.58)
Relative Strength vs Sector-49.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality-0.164
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P66
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 46th percentileP46
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.6pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (49.1) + 9% ML (45.0) + SHAP(+2.6) = 51.3
Factor quality: +0.5pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.9%. Max drawdown 33% (-10.0 pts). Price momentum -25% (-3.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.8B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.9pt (conviction=94)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #186 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
XNCR30.9N/A18.0%-82.9%$924M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ASND78.216.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Xencor, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered monoclonal antibody and cytokine therapeutics to treat patients with cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company provides Sotrovimab that targets the SARS-CoV-2 virus; Ultomiris for the treatment of patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome; and Monjuvi for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. It develops Plamotamab, a tumor-targeted antibody, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat non-Hodgkin lymphoma; Vudalimab, a bispecific antibody, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer and other solid tumor types; and Tidutamab that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat neuroendocrine tumors. The company is also developing XmAb306, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat solid tumors; XmAb104 and XmAb841, which are in Phase I clinical trial to treat patients with selected solid tumors; XmAb564 that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat autoimmune diseases; AMG 509, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat prostate cancer; XmAb819 for patients with renal cell carcinoma; and Novartis XmAb. It develops VIR-3434, which is in Phase II clinical trial for patients with hepatitis B virus infection; VIR-2482 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to trat influenza A; VIR-7832, which is in Phase 1b/2a trial to treat mild-to-moderate COVID-19; and BMS-986414 + BMS-986413 is in Phase 2/3 NIH ACTIV-2 trial in treating COVID-19. The company develops AIMab7195 to reduce blood serum levels of IgE that mediates allergic responses and allergic disease; Obexelimab to treat autoimmune disease; and Xpro1595 to treat patients with Alzheimer's disease, mild cognitive impairment, and depression. It has a license agreement with Caris Life Sciences. Xencor, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Monrovia, California.

CEO
Bassil I. Dahiyat
Employees
250
Beta
0.97
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
75.8
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.6%
High: $18.69
From 52W Low
+98.1%
Low: $6.92
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.80
Above
20-Day
$11.90
Above
50-Day
$13.40
Above
200-Day
$11.40
Above
60-Day Support
$10.76
60-Day Resistance
$18.69
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 78/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+20.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.09%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
14
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$21M$44M$33M$70M
Gross Profit$21M$41M$30M$70M
Operating Income$-48M$-33M$-43M$4M
Net Income$-6M$-31M$-48M$-53M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.08$-0.41$-0.66$-0.73
Gross Margin100.0%93.9%91.8%100.0%
Operating Margin-226.3%-76.1%-131.9%5.8%
Net Margin-28.7%-70.7%-147.9%-76.4%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 18.0%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 72/100Score impact: -11.6pt

Volume
88
692K avg/day
Dollar Vol
56
$8M/day
Float
83
57M shares
Mkt Cap
37
$924M
Range
100
170% spread
Composite Liquidity Score72/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$30.12$58.3563.8%Wide
2022$19.36$42.3074.4%Wide
2023$16.49$38.2079.4%Wide
2024$15.31$27.2456.1%Wide
2025$6.92$24.66112.3%Wide
3-Year Range
138.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
79.5%
Outstanding Shares
71M
Bid-Ask Spread
170.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.